BTTS Yes
Colchester 1 - 2 Gillingham
Who will win?
1
Colchester
x
Draw
2
Gillingham
Colchester welcome Gillingham to the JobServe Community Stadium on Tuesday, 7 October 2025 (19:45 GMT) for an intriguing Southern Group Stage clash. Gillingham have had the upper hand in this matchup in recent years, and they look well-positioned to continue that trend.
Date: 7 October 2025
Kick-Off: 19:45 GMT
Competition: England EFL Trophy
Venue: JobServe Community Stadium, Colchester
Referee: TBC
UK: iFollow / Club streaming
International: Not televised
Home Win Probability: 20.0%
Away Win Probability: 53.3%
Draw Probability: 26.7%
Correct Score Prediction: 1-2
Both Teams to Score Probability: 70.0%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 35.0%
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Away/Away
Gillingham Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.62 – The visitors have won 6 of their last 7 away games vs Colchester.
Both Teams to Score @ 1.73 – BTTS has landed in 4 of the last 6 meetings.
Expected Match Goals: 2.70
Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 100%
Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 85%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 35%
Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 25%
First Half Goals Projection: 1.40 (67% chance of a first-half goal)
Best Bet 1: Gillingham Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.62
Best Bet 2: Both Teams to Score @ 1.73
Gillingham’s expected goals (xG) advantage of 1.50 to 1.20 suggests a narrow edge for the visitors. They’ve also scored in 8 consecutive meetings at Colchester and tend to start strong — reflected in a 40% chance of leading at half-time.
26 Dec 2024 – Colchester 2-0 Gillingham
01 Jan 2024 – Colchester 0-1 Gillingham
21 Jan 2023 – Colchester 0-2 Gillingham
07 Sep 2021 – Colchester 0-1 Gillingham
24 Jul 2021 – Colchester 0-2 Gillingham
15 Aug 2020 – Colchester 0-2 Gillingham
03 Oct 2017 – Colchester 0-1 Gillingham
19 Sep 2015 – Colchester 2-1 Gillingham
26 Dec 2014 – Colchester 1-2 Gillingham
11 Jan 2014 – Colchester 3-0 Gillingham
Goals trend: Gillingham have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, keeping 5 clean sheets in that span.
Colchester Expected Goals (xG): 1.20
Gillingham Expected Goals (xG): 1.50
BTTS Probability: 70%
Half-Time Away Win Probability: 40%
Football Park tips are based on advanced xG and form data, but no outcome is guaranteed. Always wager responsibly and enjoy the football.
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