Bristol Street Motors Trophy

Away Win
Harrogate Town 1 - 2 Blackpool
Who will win?
1
Harrogate Town
x
Draw
2

Blackpool
The 2025–26 EFL Trophy knockout rounds continue on 2 December as Harrogate Town welcome Blackpool to EnviroVent Stadium for a 19:00 GMT kick-off. Following Football Park’s established algorithm-driven analysis model – as outlined in our San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips template – this preview delivers a full data-backed breakdown of what to expect. With both sides seeking a place in the next round, our predictive engine highlights strong scoring potential and a clear favourite in the match markets.
Key Betting Tip: Blackpool to win at 2.05 offers strong value given their significantly higher win probability and superior attacking metrics highlighted by Football Park’s projection model.
Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate the following match projections, with particular emphasis on tactical patterns, historical trends, and goal probability modelling. Blackpool hold a clear edge with a 50.00% win probability compared to Harrogate’s 26.70%, with the visitors’ expected goals output reinforcing their attacking advantage. With an expected match goal total of 2.90 and a very high BTTS rating of 65.00%, the data suggests a matchup shaped by scoring chances rather than defensive resilience.
The correct score model projects 1-2, supported by Blackpool’s higher efficiency in the final third and Harrogate’s tendency to concede early in knockout-round matches.
Football Park’s top two high-value percentage selections for this fixture are:
1. Blackpool to Win @ 2.05
With a 50.00% win probability and a strong attacking projection of 1.90 expected goals, Blackpool enter with the statistical superiority that typically translates well in EFL Trophy knockout rounds. Their previous meeting – a convincing 0-4 away victory – aligns with the algorithm’s confidence level here. This is our highest-rated selection.
2. Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score @ 2.05
The model assigns a strong likelihood to a multi-goal contest, projecting 2.90 match goals and a 65.00% BTTS probability. Harrogate’s defensive volatility and Blackpool’s sustained final-third efficiency reinforce this combined market as one of the strongest options available.
For more data-driven selections, see our full range of EFL Trophy betting predictions on Football Park.
Understanding this fixture historically provides context for the model’s projections. The previous meeting in November 2020 saw Blackpool dominate with a 0-4 away victory, showcasing the tactical advantages they typically carry into this matchup. While the squads have evolved, the pattern of Blackpool controlling possession and creating high-quality chances remains consistent across recent data samples.
For more head-to-head insights, explore Football Park’s match timelines and H2H archives.
While we do not publish predicted lineups, Football Park’s internal models factor squad availability, rotation patterns, and tactical structures into all projections. Our simulations account for expected formation shapes, key midfield control zones, and the attacking profiles that influence both goal probability and FT result scenarios.
To explore tactical previews in comparable fixtures, visit our EFL analysis section on Football Park.
Blackpool’s away win odds at 2.05 position them as value favourites when weighted against a 50.00% probability. Harrogate’s home price at 3.20 does not align with the model’s relatively low 26.70% win projection, reinforcing the disparity between probability and market price.
Goals markets show strong alignment between model and bookmaker odds: – Over 2.5 Goals priced at 1.75 matches our 65.00% projection. – BTTS at 1.67 is supported by a 65.00% probability, making combined markets especially appealing.
For further betting insight, consult Football Park’s guide to analysing value in cup competitions.
Blackpool approach this fixture with superior metrics, stronger attacking projection, and a favourable historical profile. With both teams expected to contribute offensively and the visitors projected to edge the key transition moments, the model’s final outcome aligns with a competitive but decisive away victory.
Best Bets:
– Blackpool Win @ 2.05
– Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 2.05
Always wager responsibly and within your means.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.

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