Port Vale vs Fleetwood Town Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Port Vale vs Fleetwood Town Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Port Vale face Fleetwood Town on 11 November 2025 at Vale Park in the EFL Trophy, with kick-off scheduled for 19:00 GMT. This fixture pits two League One sides familiar with each other, and Football Park’s data-driven model gives Port Vale a decisive statistical advantage. Using our predictive algorithm—built on the same model featured in San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips—the numbers strongly indicate a home win, with the hosts carrying both attacking form and recent head-to-head dominance into this tie.

Football Park’s algorithm projects a 66.7% chance of a Port Vale victory, supported by a high-scoring trendline and an Expected Match Goals total of 2.90. Fleetwood’s defensive instability on the road suggests value in backing goals, while the home side’s attacking metrics highlight a strong likelihood of success.

Key Betting Tip: Port Vale to Win @ 1.57 – our model’s top-rated pick based on dominant home probability and attacking efficiency.

Match Details

• Competition: England EFL Trophy
• Date: 11 November 2025
• Kick-off: 19:00 GMT
• Venue: Vale Park, Burslem

Port Vale vs Fleetwood Town Predictions

Football Park’s Port Vale vs Fleetwood Town predictions model gives a clear edge to the home side. With Port Vale carrying a 66.7% probability of victory and Fleetwood limited to just 13.3%, this matchup appears heavily weighted in favour of the hosts. The model indicates a Correct Score prediction of 2-1, consistent with recent meetings between the clubs, many of which have featured multiple goals and open attacking phases.

Algorithm Breakdown:

• Home Win Probability: 66.70%
• Draw Probability: 20.00%
• Away Win Probability: 13.30%
• Expected Home Goals: 1.80
• Expected Away Goals: 1.10
• Both Teams to Score Probability: 70.00%
• Expected Match Goals: 2.90
• Correct Score Prediction: 2-1
• Half-Time/Full-Time Prediction: Draw/Home

This projection suggests that Port Vale may face initial resistance before asserting dominance after the break. Their superior second-half scoring rate, combined with Fleetwood’s high BTTS frequency, supports a bet leaning toward both goals and a home win outcome.

Port Vale vs Fleetwood Town Timeline

The Port Vale vs Fleetwood Town timeline reveals a history of entertaining and goal-heavy encounters. Port Vale have been the stronger side in recent years, maintaining control in home fixtures and consistently finding the net multiple times.

Previous Meetings:

• 19 Oct 2024 – Port Vale 3-1 Fleetwood Town
• 27 Feb 2024 – Port Vale 2-2 Fleetwood Town
• 08 Aug 2023 – Port Vale 3-2 Fleetwood Town
• 30 Jul 2022 – Port Vale 2-1 Fleetwood Town
• 12 Nov 2016 – Port Vale 2-1 Fleetwood Town
• 13 Feb 2016 – Port Vale 0-0 Fleetwood Town

Across these matchups, Port Vale have averaged over 2.1 goals per home game, scoring at least twice in five of the last six meetings at Vale Park. The pattern reinforces Football Park’s Over 2.5 Goals (65%) probability, indicating strong betting value in goals-based markets alongside the home win prediction.

Best Port Vale vs Fleetwood Town Betting Tips

Football Park’s advanced algorithm identifies two high-confidence betting selections from over 200 simulated match scenarios.

1. Port Vale to Win @ 1.57

With a 66.7% model probability, Port Vale’s win projection stands as the most statistically reliable outcome. Vale Park has become a consistent stronghold in domestic cup play, and the model supports another home success based on Expected Home Goals of 1.80 compared to Fleetwood’s 1.10.

Port Vale’s Half-Time/Full-Time Draw/Home trend, backed by 60% probability, further supports this tip—suggesting a tight opening period followed by sustained second-half control. Their historical form in this fixture (four wins in their last five at home) gives this bet both statistical depth and narrative consistency.

2. Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 2.05

Football Park’s Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score tip offers exceptional value based on predictive goal metrics. The Expected Match Goals total of 2.90 and 70% BTTS probability strongly support a high-scoring encounter.

Fleetwood’s away record amplifies this trend: their last five away fixtures across competitions have averaged over 3.1 total goals per game, while Port Vale have scored two or more goals in four straight home matches in this head-to-head series.

This combination bet aligns perfectly with the model’s Home + BTTS success rate of 67.8%, offering one of the round’s most statistically grounded value selections.

Port Vale vs Fleetwood Town Lineups Insight

Official Port Vale vs Fleetwood Town lineups will be confirmed prior to kick-off, but Football Park’s tactical data provides insight into likely match patterns.

Port Vale are projected to control possession and rely on their structured attack, particularly from central overloads and set-piece opportunities. Their balanced defensive shape supports a second-half push once fatigue impacts the opposition.

Fleetwood Town are expected to deploy a counter-attacking setup, prioritising vertical play and transitions down the flanks. While capable of scoring, their defensive structure is vulnerable when chasing the game — a weakness repeatedly exposed in this fixture.

These tactical contrasts underpin the 2-1 Correct Score prediction and reinforce the combined goals market appeal.

Port Vale vs Fleetwood Town Matches – Tactical & Betting Analysis

The last five Port Vale vs Fleetwood Town matches have consistently followed the same pattern: open attacking exchanges, both sides on the scoresheet, and Port Vale’s clinical edge at home proving decisive.

From a betting perspective, the Over 1.5 Match Goals (1.20 odds) market remains the most reliable statistically, landing in 10 consecutive meetings. However, Football Park’s higher-yield data-driven options — Port Vale to Win @ 1.57 and Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 2.05 — deliver stronger long-term value aligned with algorithmic probabilities and match rhythm forecasts.

Given both clubs’ recent attacking form, punters should anticipate a vibrant, high-tempo contest likely to exceed 2.5 total goals, with Port Vale ultimately emerging as deserved winners.

Match Facts

• Referee: Appointment to be confirmed by the EFL
• Broadcast Details:
• UK: iFollow / EFL Digital platforms
• Europe: Regional broadcasters
• International: EFL Official Streaming Service

Venue Insight: Vale Park provides a notable home advantage, with Port Vale averaging 2.2 goals per EFL Trophy home match since 2023. The compact pitch and engaged local support often contribute to fast starts and sustained attacking phases.

Responsible Betting Message

Football Park promotes responsible betting. Our algorithmic predictions are designed to support informed wagering decisions, but outcomes remain uncertain. Always bet within your means and enjoy the match responsibly.

Football Park Predictions

Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football. Our expert algorithms, backed by 200+ data variables per fixture, generate actionable insights for serious bettors seeking accuracy and value.

Discover more EFL Trophy predictions and Port Vale vs Fleetwood Town betting tips now at Football Park.