Bristol Street Motors Trophy


Draw
Stockport County 0 - 0 Wigan
Who will win?
1

Stockport County
x
Draw
2

Wigan
Stockport County face Wigan Athletic at Edgeley Park on 11 November 2025, with kick-off scheduled for 19:00 GMT, in the EFL Trophy. Both teams enter this knockout-stage clash with strong defensive foundations and a clear incentive to advance, but Football Park’s predictive algorithm indicates a low-scoring, finely balanced contest.
Using the same predictive framework as San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips, Football Park’s model processes over 200 analytical data points — including goal probability, possession patterns, and expected match tempo — to determine likely outcomes.
Key Betting Tip: Wigan Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.83 represents the best value opportunity, supported by a 73.3% draw probability and a model projection that gives the visitors a solid chance of avoiding defeat in a tight tactical battle.
Football Park’s Stockport County vs Wigan predictions model highlights a cautious and tactical fixture expected to produce few clear chances. The statistical data paints a picture of two compact teams, with defensive solidity outweighing offensive ambition.
Prediction Summary:
With just 1.6 total expected goals, this fixture is predicted to be among the lowest-scoring in this round of the EFL Trophy. The Over 1.5 Goals probability sits at 55%, while Over 2.5 Goals falls to 20%, underlining the anticipated defensive pattern.
The Football Park algorithm rates Wigan’s resilience highly — with a strong statistical likelihood of avoiding defeat — making the Double Chance market (Win or Draw) the standout selection.
The Stockport County vs Wigan timeline offers a clear insight into recent head-to-head history, where stalemates have dominated proceedings. Their most recent meeting on 5 October 2024 ended 0-0, a result that mirrors the Football Park model’s projected correct score for this clash.
Both sides prioritised defensive discipline and positional compactness in that encounter, producing limited attacking output and few shots on target. Wigan’s ability to restrict chances against stronger opposition has remained a key feature of their tactical evolution, while Stockport’s approach underlines control over risk — particularly in cup competitions.
This repeat scenario is expected to unfold again, with the algorithm assigning a 46.7% probability of a Draw at Half-Time, reflecting the likelihood of a slow start and controlled tempo through midfield.
Football Park’s data-driven model identifies two betting selections with the highest statistical confidence, blending probability advantage with realistic market value.
1. Wigan Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.83
With a 73.3% probability of avoiding defeat, this market is Football Park’s top recommendation. Wigan’s defensive metrics are among the strongest in the EFL Trophy group stage, conceding fewer than one expected goal per match.
Their compact structure and counter-attacking discipline give them an advantage in tactical fixtures like this, where the opposition’s offensive threat is limited. The Draw/Draw Half-Time/Full-Time prediction further strengthens this pick, aligning with the expectation of a controlled, balanced game.
2. Both Teams to Score @ 1.67
Despite the low overall goal expectancy, the 56.7% BTTS probability presents solid value at 1.67 odds. The model projects both sides to find scoring opportunities through set-pieces and late transitions.
Historically, both teams tend to produce at least one goal apiece when facing comparable tactical systems, and with Over 0.5 First Half Goals at 53%, there’s potential for a breakthrough before halftime — even in an otherwise cagey affair.
Official Stockport County vs Wigan lineups will be confirmed closer to kick-off, but Football Park’s predictive modelling anticipates minimal rotation from either manager.
Both teams are expected to maintain structurally disciplined shapes:
Stockport County likely to prioritise defensive stability, keeping possession in deep areas and progressing cautiously.
Wigan Athletic expected to maintain a compact 4-2-3-1, with transitions through midfield and reliance on quick flank movements to generate opportunities.
Football Park’s data forecasts limited attacking volume from both sides, with a strong emphasis on retaining shape and minimising risks. Given the Over 0.5 First Half Goals probability (53%), expect a slow tactical opening before the game begins to stretch slightly in the second half.
From a tactical perspective, this Stockport County vs Wigan match is projected to be defined by defensive organisation and strategic control.
Stockport’s deeper block invites Wigan to play between lines, though the visitors’ 0.7 expected goals indicate they may struggle to generate high-quality opportunities. Conversely, Stockport’s narrow midfield should limit through balls and quick passing combinations.
Football Park’s data suggests the Draw/Draw Half-Time/Full-Time outcome is statistically the most probable scenario, supported by:
This aligns closely with the correct score prediction of 0-0, making under-based markets and defensive-focused bets especially appealing for bettors seeking low-risk returns.
Venue: Edgeley Park – A historic and compact venue that often encourages tactical football with limited space in central areas, suiting Wigan’s disciplined structure and measured pressing style.
Weather conditions are forecast to be mild, contributing to an even playing surface ideal for structured build-up play rather than long-ball transitions.
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Every match preview combines algorithmic precision with expert insight to deliver value-driven, data-backed betting recommendations.
For the latest verified football tips and analytical predictions, visit Football Park’s current predictions section, where in-house analysts and predictive models align to help bettors identify profitable opportunities across all major and lower-league football competitions.

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