Swindon Town vs Peterborough Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Swindon Town and Peterborough meet in the EFL Trophy on 2 December 2025 at 19:30 GMT, a fixture shaped by contrasting forms and a strong historical advantage for the visitors. Hosted at the County Ground, this knockout tie provides an ideal testing ground for Football Park’s algorithm, which has again applied its full data model — the same framework used in our San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips analysis — to deliver a high-confidence outlook.

Key Betting Tip: Peterborough to win at 2.30 offers clear value given the algorithm’s 53.30 percent away-win probability and an unbroken streak of away victories at this venue.

With both teams trending towards high-event matches, and our second primary selection pointing strongly towards goals at both ends, this tie aligns with Football Park’s historical EFL Trophy modelling. Our preview below breaks down the Swindon Town vs Peterborough predictions, timeline patterns, betting angles and match facts to guide value-focused bettors.

Swindon Town vs Peterborough Timeline & Previous Meetings

Peterborough’s dominance in this fixture is long-standing and clearly reflected in the recent Swindon Town vs Peterborough matches. The visitors have taken five of the last six encounters at the County Ground, often by decisive margins, and consistently managed to limit Swindon’s attacking output. The most recent meeting in July 2021 ended 1-0 to Peterborough, complementing a wider pattern of narrow, controlled away wins that reinforce the algorithm’s expectations for this edition.

Further back, the sides’ clashes in 2021 and 2017 also ended in Peterborough victories, characterised by superior chance creation and clinical finishing. Even Swindon's isolated wins — in 2015 and 2014 — came during very different tactical cycles, making them statistically irrelevant in current predictive modelling. This long-term head-to-head trend remains one of the strongest matchup indicators in the EFL Trophy round.

Swindon Town vs Peterborough Lineups & Tactical Overview

While we do not publish predicted lineups, our tactical analysis draws on Football Park’s algorithmic modelling of attacking patterns, defensive structures and situational trends within this competition. Swindon generally operate with a low-block shape when facing higher-quality opponents, which limits their attacking output but does create openings for counter-attacks — a factor reflected in their modest 1.00 expected goals in our model.

Peterborough, meanwhile, have a more assertive possession profile, regularly generating high-value chances through vertical passing lanes and wide overloads. Their 1.40 expected away goals projection aligns with previous EFL Trophy fixtures where they have converted early territorial dominance into sustained pressure.

The data suggests Peterborough are well-positioned to dictate tempo, and when combined with their persistent head-to-head superiority at the County Ground, this is one of the clearest tactical mismatches in the round.

Swindon Town vs Peterborough Predictions

Football Park’s algorithm processes more than 200 performance variables, factoring in head-to-head decay, shot-value modelling, match context and recent EFL Trophy performance curves. For this fixture, the model returns a 53.30 percent probability of a Peterborough win, compared to 26.70 percent for Swindon and 20.00 percent for the draw.

The expected match goals projection of 2.40 aligns closely with the Over 2.5 & BTTS model output, which remains one of the most consistent metrics in EFL Trophy knockout fixtures. With both teams showing strong historical scoring patterns at this stage of the competition, and with Peterborough regularly producing multi-goal performances away from home, the predictive curve strongly supports a decisive away display.

The algorithm’s most accurate score projection is 0-2, aligning with the favoured away-win pattern and Peterborough’s efficient conversion rate in recent head-to-head meetings.

Best Swindon Town vs Peterborough Betting Tips

Football Park’s Best Bet: Peterborough to Win @ 2.30

Our analysts rank this as the highest-value market, driven by a 53.30 percent algorithmic win projection, superior tactical metrics and long-term fixture dominance. Peterborough’s defensive compactness and efficiency in transition make this selection the standout option.

Second Expert Selection: Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 1.91

The model assigns a combined 65.00 percent probability to Over 2.5 goals, with a 63.30 percent expectation that both teams score. This aligns closely with Peterborough’s typical attacking output in EFL Trophy fixtures and with Swindon’s tendency to concede high-quality chances at home.

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Swindon Town vs Peterborough Match Facts

Referee: Appointment to be confirmed by the EFL, with typical officiating metrics favouring an open-play match profile.

Broadcast: • UK: Sky Sports (regional coverage) • International: EFL iFollow (selected territories)

Venue: The County Ground, a stadium familiar with high-scoring EFL Trophy ties and historically favourable to away sides in this matchup.

Our situational modelling shows a strong probability of a cagey first half — reflected in the 53.30 percent half-time draw projection — before tactical openings favour Peterborough as the match progresses.

Football Park Predictions

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