BTTS Yes
Arda Kardzhali 1 - 1 CSKA Sofia
Who will win?
1
Arda Kardzhali
x
Draw
2
CSKA Sofia
The Bulgaria First League serves up an intriguing encounter on 18 September 2025 at 15:30 GMT, as Arda Kardzhali welcome CSKA Sofia. The fixture takes place at Arena Arda, where Arda’s home resilience often complicates matters for even the league’s most established sides. Using Football Park’s advanced algorithm — the same predictive engine applied in previews such as San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield — this clash is tipped to be tight, with a strong lean towards a draw.
While CSKA Sofia enter as favourites with the bookmakers, Arda’s recent record against them and the model’s emphasis on balance suggest betting value lies outside the obvious outright markets. In fact, both teams’ scoring potential and the high probability of stalemate highlight alternative paths for punters seeking value.
Home Win Probability: 20.00%
Draw Probability: 53.30%
Away Win Probability: 26.70%
Correct Score Prediction: 1-1
Arda Kardzhali Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 2.05 – Backed by a 73.3% chance of avoiding defeat.
Both Teams to Score @ 2.10 – Supported by a 70% algorithm probability.
Expected Match Goals: 2.8, indicating a lively contest with scoring chances both ways.
First Half Outlook: 73% chance of at least one goal before half-time, with a 46.7% probability of going in level.
Half-Time/Full-Time Prediction: Draw/Draw – signalling a cagey contest throughout.
Key Trend: Arda’s home matches with CSKA frequently end in close battles, often with both sides on the scoresheet.
24 Aug 2024: Arda Kardzhali 2-1 CSKA Sofia
21 Apr 2024: Arda Kardzhali 2-3 CSKA Sofia
28 Oct 2022: Arda Kardzhali 1-3 CSKA Sofia
16 Dec 2021: Arda Kardzhali 2-2 CSKA Sofia
19 May 2021: Arda Kardzhali 0-1 CSKA Sofia
Insight: Four of the last five meetings at Arena Arda featured goals for both teams, reinforcing the BTTS market’s appeal.
Home Win @ 4.20 – Improbable at just 20%.
Draw @ 4.00 – Excellent value with 53.3% probability.
Away Win @ 1.73 – Short odds, but algorithm gives only a 26.7% chance.
Both Teams to Score @ 2.10 – Value selection with a 70% strike rate.
Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.10 – Balanced at 50%, making it riskier but rewarding.
Arda Kardzhali Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 2.05 – Data shows CSKA struggle to dominate away in this fixture.
Both Teams to Score @ 2.10 – Strongly aligned with head-to-head trends and model output.
Venue: Arena Arda, Kardzhali
Date & Kick-off: 18 September 2025, 15:30 GMT
Correct Score Prediction: 1-1
Broadcast Details: Available on Bulgarian domestic broadcasters and select international streams.
Football Park predictions are built on statistical models, not guarantees. Always stake responsibly and only wager what you can afford to lose.
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