Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

The Bulgaria First League continues on 7 November 2025, as Spartak Varna host Septemvri Sofia at the Ticha Stadium, with kick-off scheduled for 13:00 GMT. Football Park’s algorithm, which underpins detailed match insights such as our San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips, projects a competitive yet open encounter between two familiar rivals.

Key Betting Tip: Spartak Varna to win at 2.35 odds stands out as the top betting value. Our data model gives the hosts a 53.3% win probability, highlighting their strong home advantage and scoring consistency. The algorithm also predicts a high likelihood of goals, with both sides expected to contribute in a lively attacking matchup.

Match Details

Competition: Bulgaria First League Date: 7 November 2025 Kick-off: 13:00 GMT Venue: Ticha Stadium, Varna

Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia Predictions

Football Park’s predictive model, built on over 200 statistical variables, favours Spartak Varna to edge a goal-filled fixture. The data shows:

Home Win Probability: 53.30%

Draw Probability: 13.30%

Away Win Probability: 33.30%

Both Teams to Score Probability: 70.00%

Expected Match Goals: 2.90

Correct Score Prediction: 2-1

Half-Time/Full-Time Prediction: Home/Home

These metrics suggest a high-scoring, fast-paced match where Spartak Varna’s superior finishing and home momentum could prove decisive. The model forecasts Over 2.5 Goals in 65% of scenarios, reinforcing the value of goals markets for bettors.

Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia Timeline

The Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia matches history showcases an enduring rivalry defined by goals and intensity. Five of the last six meetings have produced Over 2.5 Goals, with Spartak Varna winning four of those.

Recent Meetings:

16 Mar 2025: Spartak Varna 4-2 Septemvri Sofia

24 Sep 2023: Spartak Varna 1-2 Septemvri Sofia

31 May 2023: Spartak Varna 1-0 Septemvri Sofia

24 Apr 2023: Spartak Varna 2-0 Septemvri Sofia

11 Dec 2021: Spartak Varna 2-1 Septemvri Sofia

This recent record confirms a home dominance trend, with Spartak Varna winning four of their last five meetings in Varna. The average total goals across those fixtures stands at 3.2 per match, aligning closely with Football Park’s projected Expected Match Goals (2.9) figure.

Best Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia Betting Tips

Football Park’s algorithm identifies two standout betting selections with the strongest probability returns for this Bulgaria First League fixture:

Spartak Varna to Win @ 2.35

With a 53.3% chance of victory, Spartak Varna’s home form underpins their value as favourites. They’ve scored multiple goals in four of their last five home encounters with Septemvri Sofia, and our data suggests they’re likely to find the net early, with a 46.7% probability of leading at half-time.

Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score @ 2.20

The algorithm assigns a 70% likelihood to both teams scoring and a 65% probability for over 2.5 goals, creating a strong overlap for this combined market. Spartak’s attacking output (1.7 expected goals) and Septemvri’s 1.3 xG projection indicate a fast, end-to-end tempo.

These represent Football Park’s top two rated percentage picks for this game, balancing solid risk-to-return potential with data-backed accuracy.

Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia Lineups Insight

While confirmed lineups are yet to be released, Football Park’s algorithm expects Spartak Varna to maintain their offensive structure at home. Their attacking strength is evidenced by an 87% probability of Over 0.5 First Half Goals, while Septemvri Sofia’s tendency to start quickly (33% chance of scoring before the break) adds volatility to early exchanges.

The predicted Half-Time/Full-Time outcome (Home/Home) and Correct Score (2-1) further support an aggressive, front-foot approach from the hosts, whose pattern of pressing intensity tends to peak in the opening hour.

Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia Matches – Tactical Outlook

This fixture often leans on momentum swings rather than defensive stability. Football Park’s data highlights Spartak Varna’s ability to exploit defensive transitions, reflected in their 58.9% probability of winning with BTTS. Meanwhile, Septemvri Sofia’s away scoring frequency — averaging 1.3 expected goals — ensures they remain a constant threat despite lower possession.

Our model anticipates a minimum of two first-half goals, in line with the 1.20 expected first-half total, suggesting that early goals markets such as Over 0.5 First Half Goals @ 1.40 may also appeal to sharp bettors seeking value.

Match Facts

Referee: To be announced by the Bulgarian Football Union Broadcast Details:

Bulgaria: Diema Sport / Max Sport

Europe: Bet365 Stream (selected territories)

Venue Insight: Ticha Stadium, Varna, has seen Over 2.5 Goals in 75% of Spartak’s recent league fixtures. The coastal conditions can influence match tempo, with afternoon fixtures historically producing higher first-half scoring rates — a factor integrated into Football Park’s projection for this matchup.

Football Park Predictions

Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football. Our data-driven approach ensures each match preview delivers algorithm-backed accuracy, expert insight, and actionable betting intelligence for football enthusiasts worldwide.