SV Hamburger vs FC St Pauli Prediction, Lineups and Betting Tip

Match Details: August 29th, 2005 | Volksparkstadion, Hamburger | Bundesliga

The third gameweek of the Bundesliga season kicks off on Friday, as newly promoted SV Hamburger take on last season's surprise survivors in FC St Pauli.

Both sides managed to notch a point in their opening day fixtures - St Pauli managed a remarkable point at home to Borussia Dortmund by netting twice in the last five minutes, while Hamburger stole a point away from Dortmund’s city rivals Borussia Monchengladbach by holding them to a 0-0 stalemate.

Key Betting Tip: Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams to Score at odds of 3.05 on Kwiff represents excellent value for the tip provided by our in-house tipsters.

SV Hamburger vs FC St. Pauli Predicted Lineups

SV Hamburger Predicted XI (3-4-3): Daniel Fernandes (GK); Jordan Torunarigha, Daniel Elfadli, Warmed Omari; Miro Muheim, Nicolai Remberg, Nicolas Capaldo, Giorgi Gocholeishvili; Alexander Rossing, Ransford Koningsdorffer, Emir Sahiti.

Likely to stick with the same lineup that held Monchengladbach to a draw, Hamburger manager Merlin Polzin will be very pleased with how quickly his squad adjusted to the pace and intensity of the Bundesliga.

Though they were comfortably outplayed, they showed excellent organisation and resilience at the back, an ability which can take promoted sides far in Germany’s top division. The fixture against St. Pauli gives them the stage to show their more attacking elements.

**FC St. Pauli Predicted XI (3-4-1-2): Nikola Vasilj (GK); Adam Dzwigala, Eric Smith, Hauke Wahl; Louis Oppie, Joel Fujita, James Sands, Arkadiusz Pyrka; Danel Sinani; Mathias Lage, Andreas Hountondji. **

Similarly to Hamburger, there is no reason for Alexander Blessin to change his strategy after a gutsy comeback draw over a talented Dortmund side on the opening day. Trailing 3-1 with five minutes remaining, a red card for Dortmund’s Filippo Mane allowed a Danel Sinani penalty and an Eric Smith header to level the game with less than a minute of normal time remaining.

However, with just one league game under their belt, St. Pauli are already missing four players through injury, these being David Nemeth, Jackson Irvine, Karol Mets and Ricky Jade-Jones, absences which could hurt their chances of picking a first win of the season.

SV Hamburger vs FC St. Pauli Current League Standings

After both earned a point in their opening fixture, they currently sit tied in mid-table - St. Pauli currently sit on the edge of the top half in ninth place, while Hamburger sit two spots below them in 11th, with Monchengladbach sandwiched between them.

SV Hamburger Head to Head Timeline

Over the last 15 years, meetings between these two sides have stayed closely contested, something which is reflected by their head to head record in that time. In the last 15 years, they have faced each other on 14 occasions, with St. Pauli winning six times to Hamburger’s four, with another four draws to round out the tale of the tape.

Recent Head to Head Meetings:

• 03/05/2024: SV Hamburger 1-0 St. Pauli.
• 01/12/2023: St. Pauli 2-2 SV Hamburger.
• 21/04/2023: SV Hamburger 4-3 St. Pauli.
• 14/10/2022: St. Pauli 3-0 SV Hamburger.
• 21/01/2022: SV Hamburger 2-1 St. Pauli.

Hamburger have escaped their last three meetings with St Pauli without loss, winning two of them and drawing one. St Pauli most look all the way back to 2022 to find their last win, when second half goals from Eric Smith, Marcel Hartel and David Otto handed them a simple 3-0 victory.

SV Hamburger vs FC St. Pauli Recent Match Analysis

SV Hamburger Last Five Games:

• Borussia M’gladbach 0-0 SV Hamburger (Bundesliga)
• Pirmasens 1-2 SV Hamburger (DFB Pokal)
• Mallorca 2-0 SV Hamburger (Club Friendly)
• SV Hamburger 0-4 Lyon (Club Friendly)
• Sturm Graz 2-1 SV Hamburger (Club Friendly)

Hamburger have had as god a start to the season as they could have hoped for - unbeaten in their two competitive fixtures so far, their form marks a marked improvement from the pre-season results, which saw the outfit lose four out of their six friendlies.

Their win over Pirmasens in the DFB Pokal would have given them a confidence boost, giving them a taste of what a controlled, straightforward win feels like, but those performances will be few and far between this season. As a newly promoted side, they must enjoy the winnable games while they last.

FC St. Pauli Last Five Games:

• FC St. Pauli 3-3 Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga)
• Eintracht Norderstedt 0-0p FC St. Pauli (DFB Pokal)
• Coventry City 2-2 FC St. Pauli (Club Friendly)
• OGC Nice 0-2 FC St. Pauli (Club Friendly)
• Karlsruher SC 1-6 FC St. Pauli (Club Friendly)

Though St. Pauli’s opening day draw with Dortmund was classed as a shock, their recent form suggests that we should really have been expecting it. In fact, St. Pauli haven’t lost any of their last six games including friendlies, and while some clubs tend to take on easy sides during pre-season, Blessin’s side took on the likes of OGC Nice and Coventry City, impressively coming out unscathed.

And their performance against Dortmund arguably deserved more than a point - they managed more shots, and even marginally won the possession battle, indicating that last season's survivors could have already moved into the next phase of their development.

SV Hamburger vs FC St. Pauli Prediction

Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions, and as a result has deduced that there is a 60% certainty that both teams will score - after St. Pauli excellence against Hamburger, we think the away side will pinch a 2-1 victory here. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability and tactical matchups.

SV Hamburger vs FC St. Pauli Betting Tip

Football Park’s Best Bet: Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams to Score at odds of 3.05 on Kwiff - Our team of in-house betting tipsters have predicted that this game has goalscoring potential. Both are relative newcomers to the league and are looking to make headway, and so both will want to stamp their authority on another potentially beatable team.

Players to Watch: SV Hamburger vs FC St. Pauli

Daniel Fernandes (SV Hamburger): Making four excellent saves in the draw with Monchengladbach, Portuguese goalkeeper Fernandes immediately repaid the trust shown in him by Polzin, as he made his first appearance in the German top flight since 2017. Capable of pulling off impossible saves, and with impressive distribution for a keeper who has spent the majority of his career in the second and third divisions, Hamburger fans will be desperate for Fernandes to build on his performance last time out.

Danel Sinani (FC St. Pauli): Opening his account in both the goal and assist columns on the opening day of the season, Sinani finally announced himself on the big stage against Dortmund. The Luxembourg international has had a mixed career that has seen him bounce from Belgium, to England and now to Germany, but with a superb top flight debut under his belt, he has earned himself the opportunity to really kick on.

Stadium Details: The Volksparkstadion, home of SV Hamburger, is the eighth largest football arena in Germany, boasting a maximum capacity of 57 ‘000. The ticket sales from such a vast stadium greatly assisted the club during their stint in the third division, and it is a facility deserving of top flight football.