Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips Predictions

Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Bayer Leverkusen welcome Union Berlin to the BayArena on Saturday, 4 October 2025 (14:30 GMT) in the Bundesliga. The hosts enter with a 40% win probability compared to Union’s 20%, while the draw remains a strong possibility at 40%. With 3.1 expected match goals and both sides projected to score, the model edges towards a 2-1 Leverkusen victory.

Key Betting Tip: Bayer Leverkusen Win @ 1.67

Match Details

Date: 4 October 2025

Kick-Off: 14:30 GMT

Competition: Germany Bundesliga

Venue: BayArena, Leverkusen – 30,000 capacity, known for its compact, high-pressure atmosphere.

Referee: TBC

Broadcast Details

Germany: Sky Sport Bundesliga

UK: Sky Sports Football / Sky Go

International: ESPN+, DAZN (selected regions), Bet365 Streaming

Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin Predictions

Home Win Probability: 40.0%

Away Win Probability: 20.0%

Draw Probability: 40.0%

Correct Score Prediction: 2-1

Both Teams to Score Probability: 66.7%

Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 60.0%

Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Draw/Draw

Football Park’s Top 2 Best Bets

Bayer Leverkusen Win @ 1.67 – The Werkself have a strong scoring projection (1.9 xG) and dominant H2H record at home.

Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 2.10 – With both teams expected to score and Leverkusen pushing at home, this market offers real value.

Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin – Betting Insights

Expected Match Goals: 3.10

Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 95%

Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 90%

Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 60%

Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 35%

First Half Goals Projection: 1.27 (67% chance of at least one first-half goal)

Expert Betting Tips – Football Park

Best Bet 1: Bayer Leverkusen Win @ 1.67

Best Bet 2: Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 2.10

Leverkusen’s recent home dominance over Union is striking — they’ve scored 14 goals in the last 4 Bundesliga meetings at the BayArena, conceding just once. With Union’s defensive struggles away from home and Leverkusen’s high attacking xG, a home win with goals on both ends looks the most likely scenario.

Responsible Betting

Football Park provides data-driven betting insights, but outcomes can always defy predictions. The Bundesliga is full of surprises – bet smart, stay disciplined, and never risk more than you can afford to lose.