Bundesliga


Home Win
Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 1 Werder Bremen
Who will win?
1

Bayer Leverkusen
x
Draw
2

Werder Bremen
The Bundesliga serves up a fixture with a history of rampant goalscoring and immense entertainment as Leverkusen host Bremen, with both sides looking to end poor winless runs to push their way back up the table. The hosts have lost three in a row in all competitions, including a disappointing loss in the Champions League last time out at the hands of Olympiacos, while the visitors keep either drawing or getting battered, with no inbetween. Either way, this looks to be a fixture for the neutral to enjoy, and one that the hosts look more likely to come away from with three points.
Key Betting Tips: Leverkusen to Win @ 1.53 odds on BoyleSports and QuinnBet, 1.52 odds on Kwiff and 1.44 odds on Coral all represent good value based on the tip provided by Football Park's advanced algorithm.
The hosts still look like the stronger side, despite their disappointing results in recent weeks. There are still positive signs in their play that they have established throughout the season, so if they can rediscover their quality in front of goal, then this match should be comfortably theirs based on the poor defensive record Bremen have suffered lately.
Bayer Leverkusen Predicted XI (3-4-2-1): Janis Blaswich; Jarell Quansah, Loïc Badé, Robert Andrich; Alejandro Grimaldo, Alex García, Ezequiel Fernández, Arthur; Ernest Poku, Malik Tillman; Patrik Schick
Leverkusen have several high profile injuries that are likely to impact their overall quality, but with most of them likely to return in about three weeks time. Those injuries are to Edmond Tapsoba, Nathan Tella and Eliesse Ben Seghir, with Mark Flekken also out injured until early March.
Werder Bremen Predicted XI (3-4-2-1): Mio Backhaus; Karim Coulibaly, Marco Friedl, Amos Pieper; Isaac Schmidt, Jens Stage, Senne Lynen, Yukinari Sugawara; Marco Grüll, Romano Schmid; Justin Njinmah
Bremen's injury woes stretch much further than that of their opponents, with a total of eight players likely to be sidelined for this fixture. Players expected back fairly soon are Salim Musah, Maximilian Wöber and Niklas Stark, as Amos Pieper and Yukinari Sugawara are likely to miss out for slightly longer. Felix Agu's return date is currently unknown, but both Mitchell Weiser and Victor Boniface are suffering from long-term injuries, with the latter looking as though his season is already over, a big loss up top for Bremen.
The drop in form that the hosts have suffered recently has harmed their league position and chances of earning a top four place at the end of the season, but there's still plenty of football to be played between now and May, so if they can turn things around quickly then they should be able to make up that space soon. They're in sixth at the moment, but all hope is far from lost as they chase third placed Hoffenheim by just four points, a margin that they can close quickly if the sides ahead slip up. They have one of the league's better goalscoring records, finding the net 34 times in 17 games, so their attacking quality is certainly there to be rediscovered.
Bremen had started to earn upper mid-table finishes in recent seasons, so to have dropped down to 13th at this point will be slightly disappointing for them, but they aren't far behind the main pack on points. Only two points off 10th placed Köln, there's potential for lots of movement in the middle of Bundesliga in the next few weeks until gaps start to open up. The relegation battle behind them won't really be on their radar, as they sit five points ahead of Heidenheim in the relegation play-off space. Though that isn't a huge gap, when you consider that Heidenheim have only picked up 13 points all season so far, a five point gap is pretty comfortable at this moment in time.
If there's one thing that we can deduce from the recent meetings between these two sides, it's that we are pretty likely to be treated to plenty of goals in this game. The last five games in this fixture has seen a whopping total of 20 goals scored, so the neutral is often spoiled when watching them face off, and Leverkusen fans will have been the happier group off the back of them. They've beaten Bremen twice in the last five meetings, with their opponents winning only once in response, seeing two matches end on level terms.
Recent Head-to-Head Results:
Bayer Leverkusen Last 5 Matches:
Leverkusen have hit a really poor patch in the last few weeks, losing three on the bounce in all competitions, which has been really harmful for them in their fight for Champions League football next season. Not only that, but to have only scored once in their last three is a very concerning sign for their attacking quality. They'll be looking to rediscover the form they were in when they beat Leipzig 3-1, a very good result that has been overshadowed by a stark drop in performances. Only six goals scored in their last five isn't good enough for a side of Leverkusen's quality, especially when you consider that they've conceded eight in that same period, so they'll need to improve all over the pitch to turn things around.
Werder Bremen Last 5 Matches:
Bremen can't seem to find the final push to turn draws into wins, having had three of their last five matches end level, but when they get beaten, it's always pretty damning. Having gone four games without scoring, there were plenty of valid concerns about a massive lack in firepower up top, only to go and put three past Frankfurt in an incredibly entertaining draw. Bremen can't seem to make their mind up between being defensively resolute and leaking goals for fun, but based on their last two results, it's safe to assume that we'll see the latter against Leverkusen.
Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with a 40.00% confidence in Leverkusen to Win. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.
Football Park’s Best Bet: Leverkusen to Win @ 1.53 odds on BoyleSports OR QuinnBet - Despite their form falling off a cliff, they've still got a strong enough squad to be able to overcome Bremen, especially as they understand how important it is to turn around their form immediately if they want to achieve a Champions League spot come the end of the season.
Alejandro Grimaldo (Bayer Leverkusen): Grimaldo has long been one of the most exciting attacking outlets on the left flank in Europe, operating primarily in the wing-back role, but able to play more defensively or pushing further forward depending on what his side needs, owing to his versatility out wide. This season has been no different for the Spaniard who, now at 30-years old, looks as dangerous as ever, becoming one of the Bundesliga's most productive wide players. With five goals and four assists to his name in the league in just 13 appearances, expect Grimaldo to cause plenty of issues for Bremen.
Jens Stage (Werder Bremen): Stage has been a goalscoring phenomenon in midfield for Bremen over the last couple of seasons, seeming to find an eye for goal from nowhere last year, a trait that he has continued to display up to now. Stage makes incisive runs from the central position into the box to pop up with vital finishes, with five of his six Bundesliga goals this season coming from inside the box. He netted last time out against Frankfurt, so will be looking to maintain his form and put himself on the scoresheet again this time round.
Broadcast Details: N/A
Referee: N/A
Stadium Information: Located in Leverkusen, in the industrial West of Germany, BayArena has a capacity of 30,210 and has been in use since 1958, with two renovations since it's opening to modernise the stadium.
Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Werder Bremen
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