Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips Predictions

Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Borussia Dortmund host RB Leipzig at Signal Iduna Park on Saturday, 4 October 2025 (14:30 GMT) in the Bundesliga. Dortmund are firm favourites with a 60% win probability and a projected 3-2 home victory, but Leipzig’s attacking threat keeps this clash wide open. The model suggests a goal-heavy contest, with 3.7 expected match goals and strong value on Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 1.62.

Key Betting Tip: Borussia Dortmund Win @ 1.70

Match Details

Date: 4 October 2025

Kick-Off: 14:30 GMT

Competition: Germany Bundesliga

Venue: Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund – 81,000 seats, renowned for its Yellow Wall atmosphere.

Referee: TBC

Broadcast Details

Germany: Sky Sport Bundesliga

UK: Sky Sports / Sky Go

International: ESPN+, DAZN (selected regions), Bet365 Live Streaming

Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig Predictions

Home Win Probability: 60.0%

Away Win Probability: 40.0%

Draw Probability: 0.0%

Correct Score Prediction: 3-2

Both Teams to Score Probability: 63.3%

Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 80.0%

Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Home/Home

Football Park’s Top 2 Best Bets

Borussia Dortmund Win @ 1.70 – Backed by the model with strong home xG of 2.1.

Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 1.62 – With both sides expected to score and concede, goals at both ends look inevitable.

Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig – Betting Insights

Expected Match Goals: 3.70

Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 100%

Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 80%

Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 80%

Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 45%

First Half Goals Projection: 1.60 (93% chance of at least one first-half goal)

Expert Betting Tips – Football Park

Best Bet 1: Borussia Dortmund Win @ 1.70

Best Bet 2: Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 1.62

Both teams have been prolific in this fixture: the last 7 head-to-heads at Signal Iduna Park produced 29 goals (avg 4.1 per game). Dortmund’s home firepower, combined with Leipzig’s ability to hit on the counter, makes this a high-scoring thriller in the making.

Responsible Betting

At Football Park, our analytics highlight value but football remains unpredictable. Big games like Dortmund vs Leipzig can swing on small margins. Bet responsibly and never risk more than you can afford to lose.