Borussia Dortmund vs St Pauli Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Borussia Dortmund vs St Pauli Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Match Details: January 17, 2026 | SIGNAL IDUNA PARK | Bundesliga | 14:30 GMT

We come to you with action from the German Bundesliga as the German topflight returns for its third game after the winter break. Here, we have a fixture contested by sides at both ends of the table, as Borussia Dortmund welcome St Pauli to the famous SIGNAL IDUNA PARK.

The Yellow Wall were certainly entertained upon their sides return to league football, playing part of a thrilling 3-3 draw in Frankfurt. As for St Pauli, they too managed to grab a point from their match last weekend, as they drew 0-0 with Werder Bremen.

We believe that this match has the tools be an enticing tie. Football Park has gone for the favourite on paper, with a Dortmund win standing out to us, given their unbeaten home record and one defeat all season. Plus, they will be eager to keep as much pressure as they possibly can on Bayern.

Key Betting Tip: Dortmund to win at 1.36 odds on Kwiff represents excellent value based on the tip provided by our algorithm.

This match looks exciting from the outlook of a home win. Despite a very impressive start to the campaign, Palace have not won a game since defeating Shelbourne in the second week of December, a run of nine games. As for The Black Cats, they have gone against the curve, by still being in a good position to push for European football despite many believing they would have fallen behind by now.

odds subject to change.

Alternative Tip: Dortmund to win & over 2.5 goals – 1.95 - TalkSPORT offers the best offer for this line. If you believe Dortmund to win is a banker and want to increase the risk, over 2.5 goals also stands out to us. Dortmund came back from the Roberto break to draw 3-3 with Frankfurt, where there were a combined 28 shots between the clubs. There have also been almost 2.5 goals on average at the SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, making this an appealing addition.

Borussia Dortmund vs St Pauli Lineups

Dortmund Predicted XI (3-4-2-1): Gregor Kobel; Nico Schlotterbeck, Waldemar Anton, Niklas Sule; Daniel Svensson, Felix Nmecha, Marcel Sabitzer, Julian Ryerson; Julian Brandt, Maximilian Beier; Serhou Guirassy.

Team News: Chelsea loanee Aaron Anselmino will miss this clash due to being sidelined with a muscle injury.

St Pauli Predicted XI (3-5-2): Nikola Vasilj; Karol Mets, Adam Dzwigala, Hauke Wahl; Louis Oppie, Jackson Irvine, James Sands, Joel Fujita, Arkadiusz Pyrka; Mathias Lage, Rick-Jade Jones.

Team News: Star man Andreas Hountondji will miss the clash with a broken ankle, and will be joined out with Daniel Sinani, David Nemeth, and Simon Spari. This could spark a surprise Bundesliga start for ex-Peterborough United forward Jones.

Borussia Dortmund vs St Pauli: League Story So Far

Dortmund have had a very strong start to the campaign so far, with only Bayern Munich outperforming their impressive start, although let’s be honest, Bayern are not on the same level as the rest of the league at the moment. Despite having lost just one game all season, they still find themselves 11 points off top spot. Despite having scored 29 goals so far, it is 34 short of Bayern’s tally, and let’s not even mention the goal difference.

As for St Pauli, they are working hard at avoiding the second season syndrome, however, it is hitting them hard so far this term. They currently reside in the relegation playoff place, which would give them a second life, as they would play third place in the Bundesliga 2. They are the lowest scorers in the division, however, and have struggled to get going. They have been showing signs of improvement, however, in recent weeks, and are unbeaten in five.

Borussia Dortmund vs St Pauli Head-to-Head Timeline

Recent Head-to-Head Results:

Over the last 15 years, these sides have locked horns on nine occasions, with Dortmund of course having the upper hand in the head-to-head by winning seven of them. St Pauli’s only win since 2010 came back in 2022 in DFB Pokal, but since then it has been all Dortmund.

• August 23, 2025: St Pauli 3-3 Dortmund
• March 1, 2025: St Pauli 0-2 Dortmund
• October 18, 2024: Dortmund 2-1 St Pauli
• June 18, 2022: St Pauli 2-1 Dortmund - DFB Pokal

Borussia Dortmund and St Pauli: Recent Matches Analysis

Dortmund Last 5 Matches:

• Dortmund 3-3 Frankfurt (A)
• Dortmund 2-0 Monchengladbach (H)
• Dortmund 1-1 Freiburg (A)
• Dortmund 2-2 Bodo/Glimt (H) - Champions League
• Dortmund 2-0 Hoffenheim (H)

The Yellow Wall have not lost in any competition since being knocked out of the DFB Pokal by Bayer Leverkusen at the start of December. Currently five games unbeaten, they have managed to score an impressive 10 goals, but have also conceded six, showing that there are still areas they need to improve upon.

St Pauli Last 5 Matches:

• St Pauli 0-0 Werder Bremen (H) - Friendly
• St Pauli 0-0 Mainz (A)
• St Pauli 2-1 Heidenheim (H)
• St Pauli 1-1 Koln (A)
• St Pauli 2-1 Monchengladbach (A) - DFB Pokal

As of the time of writing, St Pauli are yet to return to league action, but will against Wolfsburg on Wednesday. They are a strong five games unbeaten, ending the year on a massive high. A win in the cup against Monchengladbach meant they secured passage into the quarter final, and almost two weeks on a crucial win over Heidenheim put them into their current position, but they need to take advantage of it and pick up more points in the coming games.

Borussia Dortmund vs St Pauli Predictions

Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with confidence in a home win. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.

Best Borussia Dortmund vs St Pauli Betting Tips

Football Park’s Best Bet: Dortmund to win @ 1.36 - Recent form suggests confidence in a home victory. With a staggering 66.7% chance of a Dortmund win according to our incredible in-house algorithm, this seems like a strong value option.

Key Players to Watch: Borussia Dortmund vs St Pauli

Nico Schlotterbeck (Dortmund): Unbeaten in their home matches so far, this record is massively possible due to the performance of the backline. Dortmund’s defence have conceded just four goals in seven home games, with captain Schlotterbeck at the heart of the action.

Joel Fujita (St Pauli): With Hountondji out, St Pauli will need someone to step up and find goals. Although Fujita’s tally of zero suggest he may not be much help, his assist tally suggests he can still offer so much value in the final third. Work three assists to his name, he has also created more chances than 81% of other midfielders in the league, proving that his ability to produce and create could lead to St Pauli goals.

Borussia Dortmund vs St Pauli Match Facts

Referee: Information not available.

Stadium Information: Located in Dortmund, Germany, SIGNAL IDUNA PARK can hold up to just over 81,000 supporters, and this venue is expected to be packed for this clash, with this clash having much at stake for both sides.

Borussia Dortmund vs St Pauli: Final Prediction

Borussia Dortmund 4-1 St Pauli