Bundesliga

Away Win
1. FC Heidenheim 1 - 2 RB Leipzig
Who will win?
1
1. FC Heidenheim
x
Draw
2

RB Leipzig
A massive game for both team’s seasons as we see both teams fighting for points. For the home team Heidenheim they will be hoping for a point if not all 3 so that they can look to finally climb out of the relegation playoffs spot and keep their hopes of playing Bundesliga football next season alive. However, they face RB Leipzig who will be hoping for all 3 points to return to the top 4 and play in the Champions League next season as they currently sit 1 point out of the top 4. Our advanced algorithm has predicted that RB Leipzig will take all 3 points and push towards the Champions League spots.
Key Betting Tip: RB Leipzig to win this game at 1.62 odds – this represents excellent value based on tips provided by our team of in-house tipsters at Football Park.
Heidenheim Predicted Lineup (4-3-1-2): Ramaj, Busch, Mainka, Gimber, Fohrenbach, Beck, Schoppner, Dorsch, Ibrahimovic, Pieringer, Honsak
RB Leipzig Predicted Lineup (4-3-3): Gulacsi, Raum, Lukeba, Orban, Baku, Baumgartner, Seiwald, Schlager, Nusa, Cruz, Diomande
RB Leipzig 2-0 Heidenheim RB Leipzig 2-2 Heidenheim Heidenheim 0-1 RB Leipzig Heidenheim 1-2 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2-1 Heidenheim
Heidenheim have struggled a lot in the last 5 meetings only managing to get a single positive result and that was a draw. However, the positive to come from that draw was the fact that like this game it was at home. The biggest issue they have faced is their defence conceding in every game and seeing 9 goals scored in the last 5 games. With them currently having the joint worst defence in the league, they could see this amount of goals conceded go up a lot, they will need to work on their defence if they want a point.
Leipzig has been the much better team in the last 5 meetings between these 2 sides having picked up 4 wins in the last 5 matches and not having seen a loss. The main issue they have faced is keeping clean sheets having managed to only keep 2 in the last 5 meetings, if they aren’t careful, this could punish them. However, based on this season, they might add another clean sheet as Heidenheim have struggled to attack this season scoring under a goal per game and having the second worst attack in the league. They will be going into this game with the clear mental and confidence advantage.
Last 5 Heidenheim Matches: St. Pauli 2-1 Heidenheim (A) Bundesliga Heidenheim 0-4 Bayern Muchen (H) Bundesliga Heidenheim 2-2 Koln (H) Bundesliga Mainz 2-1 Heidenheim (A) Bundesliga Wolfsburg 1-1 Heidenheim (A) Bundesliga
As expected not the best run of form for Heidenheim in the last 5 matches however, they have managed to pick up 2 important points for their survival. The main issue that they have faced as expected is their defence. Having the worst defence in the league means you are expected to concede, but having seen every team in the last 5 score and seeing 11 goals conceded in the last 5 match won’t give them any more confidence especially when heading into a game where the team they are facing has the 5th best attack in the league. They are likely to see another heavy defeat if they aren’t able to solidify their defence.
Last 5 RB Leipzig Matches: RB Leipzig 6-0 Frankfurt (H) Bundesliga Union Berlin 3-1 RB Leipzig (A) Bundesliga RB Leipzig 1-3 Leverkusen (H) Bundesliga RB Leipzig 2-0 Freiburg (A) Bundesliga RB Leipzig 1-5 Bayern Munchen (H) Bundesliga
Not the type of form that Leipzig would’ve wanted when trying to push forward into the Champions League. Losing 3 games in the last 5 is something no team wants especially as the 3 losses saw them concede 3 or more goals. This highlights their defensive issues as when they win, their defence is good, having kept clean sheets in both wins they had in the last 5 matches, however, when they haven’t won, they have conceded 11 goals in just 3 matches. This would’ve damaged their confidence a lot, so they will be hoping that they can use this game as a way of getting some confidence back. The positive they do have going into this game is that they haven’t failed to score in any of the last 5 matches including a goal against the best defence in the league, they will be hoping that they can keep that going and add some more goals to push their goal difference up.
Our advanced algorithm has analysed over 200 pieces of data and precited with a 46.70% confidence that RB Leipzig will win this match. The key factors for this are players available, current form, previous head-to-head and tactical matchups.
Football Park’s Best Bet: RB Leipzig to win this game @ 1.62 odds. This is based on the fact that RB Leipzig have won the last 4 out of 5 meetings between these 2 sides and have yet to lose recently against Heidenheim.
Arijon Ibrahimovic (Heidenheim): With 2 assists this season, he has been the creative outlet for Heidenheim so far. However, it isn’t just the assists as he has created 34 chances this season averaging 2.28 per 90. If his forwards start putting away the chances his assists would jump a lot, and this is seen by his xA as he is currently underperforming it this season. He will be the person who looks to make something happen and will be vital if Heidenheim want to get any type of result.
Yan Diomande (RB Leipzig): The 19-year-old winger is one of the most in demand forwards in Europe this season and you can see why, with 6 goals and 2 assists he has been very good, over performing his xG by almost double and creating 20 chances, he has been the spark in attack. However, it isn’t just his output his ability to run at players and cause issues that way is incredible with 44 successful dribbles this season. He will cause a lot of issues for Heidenheim’s defence.

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