St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Match Details: January 10th, 2026 | Millerntor-Stadion | Bundesliga | 14:30 (GMT)

After a three-week winter break, the German Bundesliga is officially back, and on Saturday afternoon, an in-form St. Pauli will take on a stuttering RB Leipzig. The hosts might find themselves amidst a relegation, however, they enter this game favoured to get a result against Champions League chasing Leipzig.

Key Betting Tip: St. Pauli Double Chance at 1.91 odds (Kwiff Bet) represents excellent value based on the tip provided by our team of in-house tipsters.

St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig Predicted Lineups

St. Pauli Predicted XI: Vasilj (GK), Wahl, Dzwigala, Mets, Pyrka, Fujita, Sands, Irvine, Oppie, Lage, Ceesay

Team News: Simon Spari, David Nemeth, and Martijn Kaars are all nearing a return from various injuries. Andreas Hountondji will be a miss up top, after breaking his ankle last time out against Mainz.

RB Leipzig Predicted XI: Gulacsi, Raum, Lukeba, Orban, Nedeljkovic, Schlager, Seiwald, Baumgartner, Gomis, Harder, Cruz

Team News: Antonio Nusa and Johan Bakayoko will be big misses on the wings for Leipzig. Yan Diomande is yet to return from international duty at the AFCON.

St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig Current League Standings

It has been a difficult return to the top flight for FC St. Pauli, who sit in the relegation play-off spot (16th place) with 12 points. Despite a passionate atmosphere at the Millerntor, Alexander Blessin’s side has struggled for goals, netting only 13 times in 15 matches. They are currently one point away from automatic safety, making their upcoming fixtures crucial for survival in what is shaping up to be a tight basement battle.

RB Leipzig enters the winter break holding firmly onto a Champions League spot, sitting in 4th place with 29 points. While they are level on points with Bayer Leverkusen, a slightly inferior goal difference separates them from the top three. Under Ole Werner, Die Roten Bullen have remained a clinical force, though they’ll be looking to find more consistency in the new year to bridge the nine-point gap between themselves and the runaway leaders, Bayern Munich.

St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig Head-to-Head Timeline

This pair have met seven times in their history, first doing so when Leipzig rose to the second tier for the first time a decade ago. They would not meet again until St. Pauli joined them in the top flight last campaign. They have three wins each and one draw from the seven meetings. All three of St. Pauli’s wins came in the Bundesliga 2.

Recent Head-to-Head Results:

• February 2025: RB Leipzig 2-0 St. Pauli (Bundesliga)
• October 2024: RB Leipzig 4-2 St. Pauli (DFP Pokal)
• September 2024: St. Pauli 0-0 RB Leipzig (Bundesliga)
• February 2016:St. Pauli 1-0 RB Leipzig (Bundesliga 2)
• August 2015: RB Leipzig 0-1 St. Pauli (Bundesliga 2)

Recent St. Pauli and RB Leipzig Matches Analysis

St. Pauli Last 5 Matches:

• Mainz 05 0-0 St. Pauli (Bundesliga)
• St. Pauli 2-1 Heidenheim (Bundesliga)
• Koln 1-1 St. Pauli (Bundesliga)
• Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-2 St. Pauli (DFB Pokal)
• Bayern Munchen 3-1 St. Pauli (Bundesliga)

St. Pauli showed signs of life just before the holidays, picking up 4 points from their final two games. Their last five games (1-2-2) suggest they are becoming harder to beat, but they face a monumental task this weekend against RB Leipzig. To get a result, they will need the Millerntor crowd to be at its loudest, as they’ve struggled to contain top-four opposition throughout the first half of the season.

RB Leipzig Last 5 Matches:

• RB Leipzig 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga)
• Union Berlin 3-1 RB Leipzig (Bundesliga)
• RB Leipzig 6-0 Eintracht Frankfurt (Bundesliga)
• RB Leipzig 3-1 Magdeburg (DFB Pokal)
• Borussia Monchengladbach 0-0 RB Leipzig (Bundesliga)

Leipzig’s momentum stuttered slightly before the break, ending with a 1-2-2 record over their last five Bundesliga games. High-scoring wins like the 2-0 over Frankfurt were offset by a disappointing 1-2 loss to Leverkusen and a 0-0 draw at Gladbach.

St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig Predictions

Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with 43% confidence in a St. Pauli win. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.

Best St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig Betting Tips

Football Park’s Best Bet: St. Pauli Double Chance @ 1.91 - Our team of in-house betting tipsters have predicted a St. Pauli result in this fixture. Their superior form and head-to-head record justify confidence in this selection.

Key Players to Watch: St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig

Romulo Cruz (RB Leipzig): The forward has been a physical force since his €20m summer arrival, using his 1.93m frame to spearhead the Leipzig attack. With 4 goals and 3 assists in just 11 appearances, the Brazilian provides a "target man" presence that complements Leipzig's speed.

Christoph Baumgartner (RB Leipzig): The Austrian is enjoying a career-best season, leading the club with 6 goals and 7 assists. His elite positional awareness and creative link-up play make him the primary architect of the Leipzig midfield.

St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig Match Facts

Broadcast Details: N/A in the UK.

Stadium Information: Situated in the heart of Hamburg in the St. Pauli district, the Millerntor-Stadion is just a stone's throw from the world-famous Reeperbahn. The original stadium on this site was completed in 1963, though it was almost entirely rebuilt stand-by-stand between 2006 and 2015 to create the modern version seen today. It currently holds 29,546 spectators.

Referee: Yet to be announced.