Union Berlin vs Mainz 05 Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Union Berlin vs Mainz 05 Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Match Details: January 10th, 2026 | Stadion An der Alten Försterei | Bundesliga | 14:30 (GMT)

Mainz are very much the Wolves of the Bundesliga this season, having won one league game all season heading into the new year. Attempting the great escape, they travel to the capital to face Union Berlin, who themselves are outsiders for a European spot this season. This will also be Urs Fischer’s official first time returning to Union in the opposition’s dugout, after coaching the club between 2018 and 2023, leading them to the top flight and European football.

Key Betting Tip: Union Berlin to Win at 2.10 odds (Kwiff Bet) represents excellent value based on the tip provided by our team of in-house tipsters.

Union Berlin vs Mainz 05 Predicted Lineups

Union Berlin Predicted XI: Ronnow, Doekhi, Querfeld, Leite, Trimmel, Khedira, Kemlein, Kohn, Jeong, Ansah, Burke

Team News: Tom Rother and Robert Skov are both absent for this fixture due to injuries.

Mainz 05 Predicted XI: Batz, Potulski, Hanche-Olsen, Kohr, Widmer, Lee, Nebel, Sano, Costa, Amiri, Hollerbach

Team News: Phillipp Mwene, William Boving, Robin Zentner, Maxim Leitsch, and Anthony Caci will all be injury misses for Mainz.

Union Berlin vs Mainz 05 Current League Standings

After a period of stabilization, Union Berlin occupies a respectable 8th place with 21 points. Steffen Baumgart has restored some of the grit the Köpenick club is known for, maintaining a balanced record of six wins and six losses. Sitting just five points off the European places, "Eisern Union" is well-positioned to make a late-season push for a top-six finish if they can improve on their -3 goal difference.

The winter break couldn't come soon enough for Mainz 05, who sit at the bottom of the table in 18th place. With just a single win from their opening 15 matches and a total of 8 points, Urs Fischer faces a monumental task to rescue the 05ers. While they are only four points away from the play-off spot, their lack of clinical finishing having scored only 13 goals, is a primary concern they must address to avoid the drop to the 2. Bundesliga for the first time since 2009.

Union Berlin vs Mainz 05 Head-to-Head Timeline

Far from a classic Bundesliga fixture, this pair hardly met for a couple of decades before Union’s return to the top flight in 2019. Since then, they have met 12 times across the six seasons, Union dominating the head-to-head winning seven times. Mainz have one win, and there have been four draws.

Recent Head-to-Head Results:

• January 2025: Union Berlin 2-1 Mainz 05 (Bundesliga)
• August 2024: Mainz 05 1-1 Union Berlin (Bundesliga)
• February 2024: Mainz 05 1-1 Union Berlin (Bundesliga)
• August 2023: Union Berlin 4-1 Mainz 05 (Bundesliga)
• February 2023: Union Berlin 2-1 Mainz 05 (Bundesliga)

Recent Union Berlin and Mainz 05 Matches Analysis

Union Berlin Last 5 Matches:

• Koln 0-1 Union Berlin (Bundesliga)
• Union Berlin 3-1 RB Leipzig (Bundesliga)
• Wolfsburg 3-1 Union Berlin (Bundesliga)
• Union Berlin 2-3 Bayern Munchen (DFB Pokal)
• Union Berlin 1-2 Heidenheim (Bundesliga)

Union Berlin found their spark late in December, finishing the year with back-to-back wins, including a massive 3-1 victory over RB Leipzig and a gritty 1-0 win at Koln. With a 2-1-2 record in their last five, they have moved comfortably into the top half of the table. They host Mainz this weekend at the Alte Försterei, where they have been notoriously difficult to beat.

Mainz 05 Last 5 Matches:

• Mainz 05 0-0 St. Pauli (Bundesliga)
• Mainz 05 2-0 Samsunspor (Conference League)
• Bayern Munchen 2-2 Mainz 05 (Bundesliga)
• Lech Poznan 1-1 Mainz (Conference League)
• Mainz 0-1 Borussia Monchengladbach (Bundesliga)

An unbeaten run of four in all competitions does not dismiss the fact that the club have one win domestically all season. There is still time to turn things around for the 05ers, who are struggling to balance a successful European campaign with Bundesliga football.

Union Berlin vs Mainz 05 Predictions

Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with 60% confidence in a Union Berlin win. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.

Best Union Berlin vs Mainz 05 Betting Tips

Football Park’s Best Bet: Union Berlin to Win @ 2.10 - Our team of in-house betting tipsters have predicted a Union win in this fixture. Their superior form and head-to-head record justify confidence in this selection.

Key Players to Watch: Union Berlin vs Mainz 05

Ilyas Ansah (Union Berlin): Ansah is the name on every Union fan's lips right now. The 21-year-old striker has enjoyed a "dreamlike" emergence, leading the club with 5 goals and two assists. Known for his "fabulous distance efforts," he has a knack for scoring spectacular goals when the game is deadlocked.

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz 05): The 29-year-old playmaker remains Mainz's leader and most consistent creative spark. Despite the club's league struggles, Amiri has been a "different beast" in Europe, recently firing the 05ers into the Conference League Round of 16 with a clinical penalty against Samsunspor. Currently, his team's top scorer with 3 Bundesliga goals (all from the spot), his composure and dead-ball delivery are Mainz's best hope for breaking down Union Berlin's disciplined defence this weekend.

Union Berlin vs Mainz 05 Match Facts

Broadcast Details: N/A in the UK.

Stadium Information: The Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Stadium at the Old Forester's House) is located in the Köpenick forest in southeast Berlin. First opened in 1920, it is famous for being "built by fans"—in 2008, over 2,000 Union Berlin supporters volunteered more than 140,000 working hours to help renovate the ground. It has a capacity of 22,012, notably featuring more standing room than seating (roughly 18,000 of the capacity is standing terracing), which fuels its reputation as one of the loudest and most traditional venues in Germany.

Referee: Yet to be announced.