Categoría Primera B


Home Win
Real Santander 2 - 0 Cucuta
Who will win?
1

Real Santander
x
Draw
2

Cucuta
Match Date: Friday, 10 October 2025 Kick-off: 21:00 GMT Competition: Colombia Primera B
Real Santander welcome Cucuta for what promises to be a cagey yet tactical encounter in the Primera B. According to Football Park’s data-driven projections, the home side hold a slight advantage in overall efficiency and defensive control, while Cucuta’s away record remains inconsistent in key areas of chance conversion.
The hosts’ strong home form—highlighted by consistent performances against higher-ranked sides—makes them a value-backed option in this evenly matched contest.
Football Park’s advanced algorithm analysed over 200 variables, including shot efficiency, goal expectancy, and match tempo, to produce its probability model for this fixture.
Home Win Probability: 40.00%
Away Win Probability: 26.70%
Draw Probability: 33.30%
Both Teams to Score Probability: 36.70%
Expected Match Goals: 2.10
The model forecasts a likely 2-0 scoreline in favour of Real Santander, aligning with their defensive metrics and goal contribution patterns at home.
Football Park’s statistical model gives 73% confidence in Real Santander avoiding defeat. Their home consistency and the low-scoring trend in head-to-head meetings strengthen this selection. Recommended Bet: Real Santander Double Chance @ 1.80
With only 36.7% probability for both teams to score and a historic trend of tight scorelines, backing Under 2.5 Goals offers solid value. Recommended Bet: Under 2.5 Match Goals @ 2.20
31 Mar 2025: Real Santander 2-1 Cucuta
09 Oct 2024: Real Santander 0-2 Cucuta
02 May 2024: Real Santander 0-3 Cucuta
01 Oct 2023: Real Santander 0-0 Cucuta
26 Mar 2023: Real Santander 1-0 Cucuta
The last five meetings show a strong home bias — Real Santander have avoided defeat in three of those matches, with Cucuta struggling for consistency when travelling to Bucaramanga.
Football Park’s analytical model highlights a 70% likelihood of over 1.5 goals, but only 36.7% chance of both teams scoring — suggesting a match dominated by defensive structure rather than open attacking play.
With 73% probability for at least one first-half goal, early markets such as “Over 0.5 First Half Goals” could appeal to bettors seeking shorter odds.
The balance of probabilities favours Real Santander’s resilience and Cucuta’s uneven away form. Combining Real Santander Double Chance with Under 2.5 Goals offers a strong statistical edge backed by Football Park’s predictive confidence.
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