Greenock Morton vs Raith Rovers Prediction, Lineup and Betting Tip Predictions

Greenock Morton vs Raith Rovers Prediction, Lineup and Betting Tip

Greenock Morton face Raith Rovers on March 25, 2025, at Cappielow Park, in what promises to be one of the most entertaining fixtures of the Scottish Championship season. Kick-off is set for 19:45 GMT, with both sides carrying attacking intent and recent history of high-scoring encounters.

Just as in our San Lorenzo vs Vélez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips, Football Park’s predictive model has analysed over 200 performance variables to deliver a data-backed verdict. This one is shaping up to be close, with Morton given a 40% chance of winning, Raith Rovers at 33.3%, and a 26.7% likelihood of a draw.

In this preview, we break down the Morton vs Raith Rovers predictions, recent match timeline, and highlight Football Park’s two top-rated betting selections.

Morton vs Raith Rovers Timeline

The Morton vs Raith Rovers matches have consistently produced competitive contests:

• 25 Mar 2025: Morton 3-3 Raith Rovers
• 05 Oct 2024: Morton 2-0 Raith Rovers
• 27 Apr 2024: Morton 0-0 Raith Rovers
• 31 Oct 2023: Morton 1-2 Raith Rovers
• 22 Apr 2023: Morton 1-0 Raith Rovers
• 15 Oct 2022: Morton 1-0 Raith Rovers
• 28 Jan 2022: Morton 2-2 Raith Rovers

Across the last seven encounters, there have been four Morton wins, two draws, and one Raith victory. The March 2025 meeting — a thrilling 3-3 draw — underlined how open these games can be, with six goals shared and both attacks thriving.

Morton vs Raith Rovers Predictions

Football Park’s algorithm highlights this as a high-scoring fixture, projecting 3.10 total goals with a 70% probability of Over 2.5 Goals.

Key outputs from the model:

Over 1.5 Match Goals – 75% probability

Over 2.5 Match Goals – 70% probability

Correct Score Projection: Morton 3-2 Raith Rovers

Half-Time/Full-Time Likelihood: Draw/Home

While Morton edge the win probability, the close split between the teams suggests a highly competitive contest. Raith’s slightly higher expected goals (1.6 vs 1.5) make them dangerous, but home advantage may tilt the balance back to Morton.

Best Morton vs Raith Rovers Betting Tips

Based on the data and algorithm confidence, Football Park’s tipsters have selected the following two standout markets:

Best Bet 1: Over 2.5 Match Goals @ 2.25 – With a 70% probability of landing, the numbers point clearly to goals. Four of the last seven Morton vs Raith Rovers lineups have produced three or more goals, and both teams are expected to contribute here.

Best Bet 2: Morton to Win @ 3.75 – Despite being priced as underdogs, the model still gives Morton a 40% chance of victory. Given their strong recent record at Cappielow against Raith, the 3.75 odds represent significant value.

These selections combine strong statistical backing with favourable market pricing, offering bettors compelling angles into this Scottish clash.

Morton vs Raith Rovers Match Facts

Projected Scoreline: 3-2 Morton

Expected Goals (Match): 3.10

Half-Time Projection: 40% chance Raith lead at HT, but Morton forecast to overturn late

BTTS Probability: 46.7%

Referee: To be confirmed by the Scottish FA. Refereeing in recent Morton fixtures has leaned toward higher foul counts, which could disrupt rhythm but won’t necessarily stifle goals.

Broadcast Details:

UK: BBC Scotland (selected matches) and streaming via SPFL platforms

International: Regional rights vary

Stadium Information: Cappielow Park is Morton’s historic home, holding just over 11,000. Its tight pitch dimensions often create a frenetic pace, encouraging attacking play and quick transitions.

Conclusion – Morton vs Raith Rovers Predictions

This fixture has all the hallmarks of another entertaining Morton vs Raith Rovers match, with the algorithm strongly favouring goals. Morton are given a 40% chance of victory, but with Raith not far behind on 33.3%, this looks evenly poised.

Football Park’s two recommended bets:

Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.25

Morton to Win @ 3.75

Both selections reflect the data’s confidence and the historical head-to-head timeline, offering strong betting value.

Football Park Predictions

Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.