BTTS Yes
Hull City 1 - 2 Blackburn
Who will win?
1
Hull City
x
Draw
2
Blackburn
Hull City take on Blackburn Rovers in the England Championship on 23 August 2025, with kick-off at 12:30 GMT at the MKM Stadium. This fixture has produced tense, low-margin battles in recent years, with Blackburn often enjoying success on their travels to Hull. Football Park’s advanced prediction model, which processes over 200 tactical and statistical data points, gives Blackburn a narrow edge in probability, though Hull’s home advantage keeps the contest finely balanced.
Our data-driven forecast anticipates a competitive match with goals likely at both ends. The algorithm highlights a 1-2 correct scoreline as the most probable outcome, with a 60% probability of both teams scoring shaping the strongest betting angles. With market odds sitting evenly between the two sides, Football Park’s insights identify clear value opportunities for punters to consider ahead of Saturday’s early kick-off.
Football Park’s model projects:
Home Win Probability: 40.00%
Away Win Probability: 46.70%
Draw Probability: 13.30%
Correct Score Projection: 1-2 Blackburn
With 2.40 expected goals across the match and a 60% chance of both teams scoring, bettors should prepare for a contest where defensive weaknesses are exposed. The first half is expected to be cagey, with a 46.7% chance of a half-time draw, before Blackburn edge ahead in the second half.
Over 0.5 Match Goals – 90% probability | Odds: 1.20
Both Teams to Score @ 2.00 – Backed by a 60% model probability, this market offers strong value at even odds.
07 Dec 2024: Hull City 0-1 Blackburn – A disciplined away performance secured three points.
29 Dec 2023: Hull City 3-2 Blackburn – Hull edged a five-goal thriller.
29 Oct 2022: Hull City 0-1 Blackburn – Clinical finishing made the difference.
19 Jan 2022: Hull City 2-0 Blackburn – Hull capitalised on home advantage.
20 Aug 2019: Hull City 0-1 Blackburn – Another narrow Rovers win in Yorkshire.
18 Aug 2018: Hull City 0-1 Blackburn – Repeat away success.
26 Sep 2015: Hull City 1-1 Blackburn – Tight and balanced.
19 Feb 2013: Hull City 2-0 Blackburn – Hull’s last convincing home win in the fixture.
Blackburn have won five of the last eight meetings, including four away victories, underlining their resilience in this matchup.
Hull are expected to rely on width and set-piece opportunities, but their limited conversion rate at home remains a concern. The Football Park model forecasts just 1.10 goals for Hull, showing their struggles in open play.
Blackburn, conversely, carry greater attacking balance, averaging 1.30 goals in this matchup projection. They are likely to exploit Hull’s defensive gaps with pace in transition, particularly in the second half when spaces open up.
This tactical clash suggests a game where Hull’s home aggression is offset by Blackburn’s more clinical finishing, aligning closely with the model’s 1-2 scoreline projection.
Based on Football Park’s algorithm and value in the markets, our recommended selections are:
Both Teams to Score @ 2.00 – With a 60% probability and a history of goals at both ends, this market is well priced.
Over 0.5 Match Goals @ 1.20 – A near-certainty with 90% model probability.
Punters seeking bigger returns may consider the 1-2 correct scoreline, matching both statistical output and historical precedent.
###Responsible Betting Advice
While data-driven probabilities provide valuable betting insights, no outcome is ever guaranteed. Bettors are encouraged to wager responsibly, keep stakes measured, and treat betting as a form of entertainment.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.
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