Chile Primera División
Away Win
Palestino 0 - 2 Everton De Vina
Who will win?
1
Palestino
x
Draw
2
Everton De Vina
Match Details:
October 24, 2025 | 21:00 GMT | Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna | Chile Primera División
Palestino face Everton De Viña in Santiago as the Chilean Primera División continues, with Football Park’s data model anticipating a tactical, measured clash where Everton’s efficiency in front of goal could prove decisive. According to our algorithm, Everton carry a 46.7% probability of victory, slightly higher than Palestino’s 40%, while the draw sits at 13.3%.
The predictive model forecasts 2.3 total match goals, indicating moderate attacking output and suggesting a cagey but potentially decisive encounter. The head-to-head history favours Everton, who have dominated recent meetings with four wins from their last five trips to Santiago.
Key Betting Tip: Everton De Viña to Win @ 3.75 – a value play supported by Football Park’s algorithmic analysis and superior historical head-to-head data.
Football Park’s predictive algorithm expects a tightly contested fixture, with Everton De Viña slightly edging Palestino due to their stronger attacking conversion rate and historical advantage. The projected correct scoreline of 0-2 underscores the visitors’ likelihood of finding space on the counter while maintaining defensive stability.
Home Win Probability: 40.0%
Draw Probability: 13.3%
Away Win Probability: 46.7%
Both Teams to Score Probability: 43.3%
Expected Match Goals: 2.3
Predicted Correct Score: 0-2
Everton’s expected 1.5 goals to Palestino’s 0.9 signals the away side’s greater attacking edge, particularly given their ability to capitalise on transitional phases. The Football Park model also highlights a 46.7% chance of a draw at half-time, reinforcing the trend of Everton finishing stronger in the latter stages.
Football Park’s Best Bet: Everton De Viña to Win @ 3.75
Everton enter this matchup with a strong algorithmic edge, reflecting their historical dominance and a higher goal expectancy. Football Park’s data places Everton as the most statistically valuable selection given their consistent away performances against Palestino.
Everton have won four of their last five away games against Palestino.
The model projects a 46.7% win probability and an expected 1.5 away goals, the highest across the match simulations.
Palestino’s 0.9 goal expectation suggests attacking inefficiency against structured defensive units.
This bet aligns perfectly with the Football Park system’s value threshold, marking it as a standout selection for bettors seeking high-probability returns in the Chilean top flight.
Alternative Value Bet: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.57
While Everton are projected to win, Football Park’s data highlights low-scoring potential. With Over 2.5 Goals probability at just 45%, the Under 2.5 market provides balanced risk-to-reward for conservative bettors.
Three of the last five head-to-head fixtures have finished with two goals or fewer.
Palestino average under one expected goal per home game in recent simulations.
Both teams rank below the league average for shot conversion, reflected in the 2.3 total goal expectation.
This selection captures the defensive and cautious tone that often defines these matchups, making it a statistically sound secondary pick.
Historical trends underscore Everton’s sustained superiority in this fixture. Football Park’s model attributes this to their superior xG-to-goal efficiency and a tactical setup that thrives against sides like Palestino, who prefer controlled possession but often lack penetration.
Recent Meetings:
21 Jul 2024: Palestino 1-4 Everton De Viña
23 Nov 2023: Palestino 0-2 Everton De Viña
01 Oct 2022: Palestino 1-4 Everton De Viña
12 Apr 2021: Palestino 1-1 Everton De Viña
03 Sep 2020: Palestino 1-0 Everton De Viña
Across the last five fixtures, Everton have scored 11 goals to Palestino’s 4, averaging 2.2 goals per game, while keeping three clean sheets. These figures validate Football Park’s model projection of another disciplined, clinical away performance.
Football Park’s advanced probability model isolates two high-confidence markets that align with recent form and long-term data patterns:
Primary Selection – Everton De Viña to Win @ 3.75
Supported by 46.7% algorithmic confidence.
Strong historical dominance over Palestino.
Projected clean sheet probability of 56%.
Secondary Selection – Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.57
Backed by a 55% likelihood according to Football Park’s projections.
Consistent underperformance in chance creation metrics.
Combined, these selections present a balanced betting strategy: value on the away win with coverage from the low-goal projection model.
Football Park’s predictions are built on probability models, not certainties. Always bet responsibly, set limits, and ensure your wagering remains a form of entertainment. Our analytics are designed to guide decision-making — not guarantee outcomes.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football. Our algorithm-driven previews combine deep statistical analysis, form modelling, and expert interpretation to deliver consistently reliable betting insights.
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