Chinese Super League
Home Win
Henan Jianye 2 - 1 Hangzhou Greentown
Who will win?
1
Henan Jianye
x
Draw
2
Hangzhou Greentown
Match Date: Saturday, 25 October 2025 Kick-off: 12:00 GMT Competition: China Super League
An in-form Henan Jianye side welcomes Hangzhou Greentown in what promises to be an open, attacking encounter in the Chinese Super League. Football Park’s algorithm gives Henan a commanding 60% win probability, with the model projecting 3.4 total expected goals, indicating a strong likelihood of a high-scoring fixture.
Henan’s home record has been superb, combining offensive fluidity with consistent goal production, while Hangzhou’s defensive struggles — particularly away from home — leave them vulnerable to sustained pressure.
Football Park’s predictive model, built on over 200 statistical indicators including xG, shot volume, and defensive transitions, forecasts the following:
Home Win Probability: 60.00%
Away Win Probability: 13.30%
Draw Probability: 26.70%
Both Teams to Score Probability: 56.70%
Expected Match Goals: 3.40
The model’s most frequent simulation outcome is a 2-1 home win for Henan Jianye — a scoreline that reflects both teams’ attacking strengths but the hosts’ superior efficiency and home form.
Henan Jianye to Win @ 1.95
Henan Jianye’s dominance at home makes them a reliable pick. They’ve averaged 2.1 expected goals per game and won four of their last five home fixtures against Hangzhou.
Hangzhou have struggled to contain opponents on the road, conceding 1.9 goals per away match this season. The data and form trends strongly favour Henan extending their excellent home streak. Recommended Bet: Henan Jianye to Win @ 1.95
Over 2.5 Match Goals @ 1.36
With 3.4 expected match goals and both sides capable in attack, this market offers value despite shorter odds. The last five head-to-heads have all featured over 2.5 goals, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Henan’s attack typically starts fast, and with Hangzhou’s attacking quality on the counter, another goal-heavy affair looks highly likely. Recommended Bet: Over 2.5 Match Goals @ 1.36
22 Jun 2025: Henan Jianye 3-2 Hangzhou Greentown
21 Jul 2024: Henan Jianye 2-1 Hangzhou Greentown
09 Jun 2023: Henan Jianye 2-2 Hangzhou Greentown
11 Jun 2022: Henan Jianye 3-1 Hangzhou Greentown
30 Apr 2016: Henan Jianye 1-0 Hangzhou Greentown
Henan have been dominant in this matchup, unbeaten in the last five meetings (W4, D1), and consistently producing high-scoring results.
Over 0.5 Match Goals: 100% probability
Over 1.5 Match Goals: 90% probability
Over 2.5 Match Goals: 55% probability
Over 3.5 Match Goals: 50% probability
Both Teams to Score: 56.7% probability
Correct Score Prediction: 2-1 Henan Jianye
Expect another entertaining, goal-laden game, with Henan’s home strength and Hangzhou’s countering threat both contributing to an open contest.
Henan Jianye’s consistent home form and attacking reliability make them favourites to collect all three points. Hangzhou should still pose a threat going forward, keeping BTTS and Over 2.5 markets firmly in play.
Predicted outcome: Henan Jianye 2-1 Hangzhou Greentown Most valuable markets: Henan Jianye to Win and Over 2.5 Goals
All Football Park predictions are based on algorithmic models and statistical analysis — not certainties. Always bet responsibly, manage your bankroll wisely, and ensure betting remains a fun, recreational activity.
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