BTTS Yes
Qingdao Jonoon 1 - 3 SHANGHAI SIPG
Who will win?
1
Qingdao Jonoon
x
Draw
2
SHANGHAI SIPG
The China Super League returns on 17 October 2025, with Qingdao Jonoon hosting Shanghai SIPG at the Qingdao Tiantai Stadium, kicking off at 11:00 GMT. This fixture features two sides on very different trajectories — Qingdao fighting for consistency, while Shanghai SIPG continue to display the league’s most dominant attacking football.
Using Football Park’s data-led algorithm — the same analytical model featured in our San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips — we deliver a complete breakdown of this matchup. Our predictive model has analysed hundreds of data points, factoring in previous results, scoring probabilities, and form indicators.
Key Betting Tip: Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score @ 1.73 offers strong betting value, with Football Park’s model forecasting 4.1 expected match goals and an 80% likelihood of both sides finding the net.
Football Park’s algorithm predicts a 60% probability of a Shanghai SIPG victory, compared with 20% for Qingdao Jonoon and a 20% chance of a draw. The model also projects 4.1 total goals, one of the highest expected tallies in this round of fixtures.
Shanghai SIPG are likely to dictate possession and tempo, with a strong chance of multiple first-half goals — the data model gives a 93% probability for over 0.5 goals before half-time. Qingdao’s defensive structure has shown fragility under pressure, conceding 10 goals in their last two meetings with SIPG, both ending 5-0.
The projected correct scoreline of 1-3 aligns with SIPG’s historical dominance, balanced by Qingdao’s potential to exploit counterattacks against a high line.
This is Football Park’s highest-rated percentage selection for this match, with a 65% probability of exceeding 2.5 goals and a 66.7% chance both teams score.
Shanghai SIPG’s attacking profile is unmatched in the league — they average 2.8 expected goals and have scored five goals in each of their last two meetings with Qingdao. Meanwhile, Qingdao tend to respond well at home, managing at least one goal in six of their last eight fixtures.
Supporting indicators:
Over 2.5 goals has landed in 7 of Shanghai SIPG’s last 10 league matches.
Football Park’s model projects 1.77 first-half goals, highlighting early attacking intensity.
Both teams have scored in two of the last three home games for Qingdao Jonoon.
With high offensive metrics on both sides, this combined market provides an excellent balance of probability and odds value.
Football Park’s second data-backed selection is a Shanghai SIPG win, supported by a 60% probability of success and a historical clean sweep in head-to-head matches.
SIPG have won each of their last two meetings with Qingdao Jonoon by a 5-0 scoreline, illustrating a clear gap in quality, pace, and finishing precision. Their ability to convert pressure into goals makes them the most reliable side in the Chinese top flight for outright victory markets.
Key betting data:
SIPG have scored at least three goals in 70% of away league matches this season.
Qingdao’s home win probability sits at only 20%, the lowest among this week’s fixtures.
Half-time/full-time prediction: Away/Away, reflecting SIPG’s trend of starting quickly and controlling games from the outset.
At 1.42 odds, a Shanghai SIPG win serves as a safe single or an accumulator anchor bet.
Football Park’s algorithm expects this China Super League clash to deliver high tempo and heavy attacking phases, particularly from Shanghai SIPG. With 4.1 predicted match goals, this fixture ranks among the round’s most likely to produce a goal fest.
Qingdao Jonoon enter as heavy underdogs, but their 1.3 expected goals output signals a realistic chance to get on the scoreboard — especially in transitional phases. However, their defensive metrics (averaging 2.5 goals conceded per match) expose vulnerabilities against elite opponents like SIPG, who consistently exploit defensive gaps with vertical passing and wide overloads.
Shanghai SIPG’s attacking trio are expected to dominate possession and create overloads in the final third. Football Park’s expected first-half goals figure (1.77) suggests early breakthroughs, and the 53.3% probability of an away lead at the interval reinforces confidence in the Away/Away Half-Time/Full-Time pattern.
01 May 2024: Qingdao Jonoon 0-5 Shanghai SIPG
08 Aug 2023: Qingdao Jonoon 0-5 Shanghai SIPG
17 Apr 2016: Qingdao Jonoon 1-4 Shanghai SIPG
22 Sep 2013: Shanghai SIPG 3-0 Qingdao Jonoon
Shanghai SIPG’s dominance is overwhelming — they’ve scored 17 goals across their last four meetings with Qingdao while conceding just one. Football Park’s statistical model heavily factors these outcomes into its algorithmic forecast, predicting another multi-goal away victory.
Football Park’s in-house analysts and machine-learning algorithm converge on a clear outlook — Shanghai SIPG to win comfortably in a high-scoring contest. The data-driven probability distribution supports two profitable betting markets:
Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 1.73
Shanghai SIPG to Win @ 1.42
With an 80% chance of at least one team scoring twice, and over 65% probability for 3+ total goals, these selections represent balanced risk-reward opportunities for bettors.
SIPG’s attacking data — 2.8 expected goals and 93% likelihood of first-half goals — suggest momentum from the opening whistle. Qingdao’s chance conversion, though limited, could ensure both sides contribute to the scoreline, consistent with Football Park’s 1-3 predicted result.
All Football Park predictions are derived from objective data modelling and statistical pattern recognition. While probabilities guide expected outcomes, football remains inherently unpredictable. Please gamble responsibly and never stake more than you can afford to lose. Visit BeGambleAware.org for professional guidance and safe betting resources.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football. Our expert team combines data science, algorithmic projections, and industry knowledge to deliver actionable insights across global markets, including the China Super League, A-League, and Saudi Pro League.
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