Chinese Super League


BTTS Yes
Sichuan Jiuniu 2 - 2 Chengdu Better City
Who will win?
1

Sichuan Jiuniu
x
Draw
2

Chengdu Better City
Sichuan Jiuniu host Chengdu Better City on 22 November 2025 at 07:30 GMT in the China Super League in what our Football Park algorithm expects to be an open, attack-driven encounter. Following the same analytical methodology used in the San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips model, this preview evaluates more than 200 performance indicators to project match outcomes, scoring trends, and key betting opportunities.
Chengdu Better City enter this fixture with a clear advantage according to the model, holding a 36.7 percent win probability compared with just 20 percent for Sichuan Jiuniu. However, the draw probability of 43.3 percent signals that the match may tighten as it progresses, especially given how evenly matched their attacking profiles look. With a projected Correct Score of 2-2, the algorithm anticipates a high-intensity contest shaped by transitional attacks and defensive instability on both sides.
Home Win Probability: 20.00 percent Away Win Probability: 36.70 percent Draw Probability: 43.30 percent
Expected Home Goals: 1.20 Expected Away Goals: 1.80 Most Probable Correct Score: 2-2
Both Teams to Score Probability: 75.00 percent Expected Match Goals: 3.00 Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 67.50 percent Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 30.00 percent
First Half Projection: Expected first-half goals: 1.50 Most likely HT result: Away Win (43.3 percent) Half-Time / Full-Time Projection: Draw/Draw
These metrics strongly suggest a match governed by attacking momentum swings rather than structured control. Chengdu’s stronger finishing efficiency is offset by Jiuniu’s counterattacking threat, which helps underpin the high BTTS probability.
The recent meetings further support this fixture’s expected volatility:
09 Aug 2024 – Sichuan Jiuniu 0-3 Chengdu Better City 09 Sep 2021 – Sichuan Jiuniu 1-1 Chengdu Better City
Chengdu typically assert dominance in this matchup, but Jiuniu have shown they can force a level contest when given transition opportunities.
With 70 percent probability of at least one first-half goal, the model expects Chengdu to impose tempo early, particularly through wide overloads and third-man forward runs.
Sichuan Jiuniu’s clearest scoring window occurs between minutes 35–65, where their expected goal contribution peaks and Chengdu’s defensive line historically becomes stretched.
The high draw probability originates from a predicted late drop-off in shot quality. Both sides frequently flatten tactically after the 75th minute, making a 2-2 finish an algorithm-supported outcome.
Based on Football Park’s top two highest-rated percentage model selections:
Best Bet 1: Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 2.05 With a 75 percent BTTS probability and a 67.5 percent chance of over 2.5 goals, this combined market aligns closely with the projected 2-2 Correct Score.
Best Bet 2: Both Teams to Score @ 1.75 The attacking volatility of both teams makes this one of the strongest statistical edges in the match.
Confirmed Sichuan Jiuniu vs Chengdu Better City lineups will be available closer to kickoff.
Stylistic features influencing algorithm projections: Sichuan Jiuniu: Rapid counterattacks, direct vertical play, reliance on second-phase chances. Chengdu Better City: Structured possession, controlled pressing, superior shot-conversion profile.
These contrasting styles contribute heavily to the match’s high scoring expectation.
Referee: To be confirmed Broadcast: China Super League domestic broadcasters and international streaming services Market Note: Chengdu Better City are heavy favourites in the market, but the algorithm suggests goals-based markets offer the most value.
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