Tianjin Teda vs Changchun Yatai Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips Predictions

Tianjin Teda vs Changchun Yatai Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Match Date: Saturday, 25 October 2025 Kick-off: 08:30 GMT Competition: China Super League

Match Overview

A mid-table battle awaits in the Chinese Super League as Tianjin Teda host Changchun Yatai at the TEDA Football Stadium. Football Park’s predictive model gives Tianjin a 46.7% win probability, underlining their edge at home, where they’ve been defensively consistent and effective in converting chances.

Changchun, by contrast, have struggled on the road this season — particularly in attack — and face a Tianjin side that has kept clean sheets in over half of their recent home matches. With 2.2 expected match goals and a low 33.3% BTTS probability, this fixture could unfold as a controlled, methodical home victory.

Football Park Algorithm Predictions

Football Park’s machine-learning model, based on over 200 performance metrics including xG, defensive duels, and chance creation, forecasts:

Home Win Probability: 46.70%

Away Win Probability: 6.70%

Draw Probability: 46.70%

Both Teams to Score Probability: 33.30%

Expected Match Goals: 2.20

The model’s most likely simulation outcome is a 2-0 home win, reflecting Tianjin’s ability to manage matches through disciplined structure and opportunistic finishing.

Key Betting Tips

Tianjin Teda to Win @ 1.62

Tianjin have been one of the most reliable home sides in the league, particularly against bottom-half opposition. Their compact defence and efficient attack make them strong favourites here, with the algorithm giving them nearly a 47% chance of victory and a low probability of conceding.

Changchun Yatai, meanwhile, have failed to win any of their last six away fixtures, averaging just 0.8 goals per game. Recommended Bet: Tianjin Teda to Win @ 1.62

Under 2.5 Match Goals @ 1.70

Despite Tianjin’s attacking edge, their home matches often stay tight and controlled — five of their last seven have finished with two goals or fewer.

Changchun’s lack of offensive output away from home adds further weight to the unders market. The model’s 2.2 expected match goals and low BTTS probability (33.3%) support a low-scoring outcome. Recommended Bet: Under 2.5 Match Goals @ 1.70

Head-to-Head Timeline – Tianjin Teda vs Changchun Yatai

06 Jul 2024: Tianjin Teda 2-2 Changchun Yatai

29 Jul 2023: Tianjin Teda 0-0 Changchun Yatai

15 Aug 2022: Tianjin Teda 2-2 Changchun Yatai

28 Jul 2021: Tianjin Teda 1-4 Changchun Yatai

01 Dec 2020: Tianjin Teda 5-1 Changchun Yatai

The recent head-to-head record leans slightly toward balance, but Tianjin’s home performances have been more consistent, with multiple clean sheets in recent fixtures.

Statistical Breakdown – Tianjin Teda vs Changchun Yatai Predictions

Over 0.5 Match Goals: 80% probability

Over 1.5 Match Goals: 55% probability

Over 2.5 Match Goals: 35% probability

Both Teams to Score: 33.3% probability

Correct Score Prediction: 2-0 Tianjin Teda

Expect a composed display from the hosts, built around defensive solidity and efficient attacking transitions.

Betting Outlook

Tianjin Teda’s home form, defensive structure, and recent consistency make them a logical pick. Changchun Yatai’s travel issues and limited offensive firepower suggest the visitors will struggle to break through.

Predicted outcome: Tianjin Teda 2-0 Changchun Yatai Most valuable markets: Tianjin Teda to Win and Under 2.5 Goals

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