Chinese Super League


Home Win
Tianjin Teda 3 - 0 Shanghai Shenhua
Who will win?
1

Tianjin Teda
x
Draw
2

Shanghai Shenhua
Tianjin Teda welcome Shanghai Shenhua on 22 November 2025 at 07:30 GMT in a China Super League fixture shaped by contrasting statistical profiles and a history of tight, attritional encounters. Played at Tianjin Olympic Centre Stadium, this matchup follows the analytical framework used across Football Park’s predictive coverage, including the structure underpinning our San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips, with projections generated from more than 200 advanced data variables.
Football Park’s model leans towards a Tianjin Teda result, assigning the hosts 53.30 percent win probability, far surpassing Shenhua’s 26.70 percent. Despite bookmakers installing Shenhua as strong favourites, the algorithm identifies value on the home side, supported by superior expected goals output and long-term tactical trends. A low-to-mid scoring match is anticipated, with a Correct Score projection of 3-0 and expectations of tight early phases before Tianjin’s second-half momentum takes control.
Competition: China Super League Date: Saturday 22 November 2025 Kick-Off: 07:30 GMT Venue: Tianjin Olympic Centre Stadium
Home Win Probability: 53.30 percent Away Win Probability: 26.70 percent Draw Probability: 20.00 percent
Expected Home Goals: 1.50 Expected Away Goals: 1.10 Most Likely Correct Score: 3-0
Both Teams to Score Probability: 46.70 percent Expected Match Goals: 2.50 Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 50.00 percent Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 35.00 percent
First Half Outlook: Expected first-half goals: 1.07 Most likely HT result: Draw (46.70 percent) Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Draw/Home
Tianjin Teda are projected to grow significantly into the contest, driven by second-half efficiency and increased shot production.
11 May 2024 – Tianjin Teda 0-0 Shanghai Shenhua
29 Oct 2023 – Tianjin Teda 1-1 Shanghai Shenhua
21 Nov 2022 – Tianjin Teda 2-1 Shanghai Shenhua
22 Jul 2021 – Tianjin Teda 1-3 Shanghai Shenhua
24 Jul 2019 – Tianjin Teda 1-3 Shanghai Shenhua
10 May 2019 – Tianjin Teda 1-1 Shanghai Shenhua
28 Oct 2018 – Tianjin Teda 2-4 Shanghai Shenhua
02 Jun 2017 – Tianjin Teda 2-1 Shanghai Shenhua
25 Sep 2016 – Tianjin Teda 1-3 Shanghai Shenhua
History heavily favours the away side, though recent meetings have been significantly more balanced, with Teda undefeated in the last two head-to-heads.
A measured, cautious start is expected, with a 67 percent chance of at least one first-half goal. Both teams trend towards compact structures before opening play after the half-hour mark.
Tianjin Teda projected to dominate central progression and second-ball recoveries. Shanghai Shenhua expected to rely heavily on wide channels and counter-attacks.
The model forecasts Tianjin’s strongest attacking period late in the match. Shenhua’s defensive lines historically struggle under sustained pressure away from home.
Football Park’s model identifies these two high-value percentage-driven selections:
Best Bet 1: Tianjin Teda Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 2.62 Model probability: Strong home-leaning projection at 53.30 percent win probability plus 20 percent draw probability.
Best Bet 2: Tianjin Teda Win Supported by the algorithm’s top-rated match outcome and second-half dominance indicators.
Confirmed Tianjin Teda vs Shanghai Shenhua lineups will be available closer to kickoff.
Tactical tendencies suggest:
Tianjin Teda: Structured, possession-based system with strong central combinations. Shanghai Shenhua: Direct, transitional approach with reliance on pace in wide attacking moments.
These contrasting tactical identities shape the high-value angles identified in Football Park’s projections.
Referee: To be confirmed Broadcast: Live across Chinese domestic networks and select international streaming platforms Market Movement: Despite statistical favourability for Teda, market support has initially leaned towards Shanghai Shenhua, creating potential value gaps for bettors.
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