Home Win
Argentinos JRS 2 - 0 Lanus
Who will win?
1
Argentinos JRS
x
Draw
2
Lanus
The Copa Argentina heats up as Argentinos JRS face Lanus on 9 September 2025 at 01:10 GMT, in what promises to be a tactically intriguing knockout clash. Played on neutral ground, the tie offers no room for error, with Argentinos carrying a slight edge in the betting markets at 2.38 odds to win.
Using the Football Park algorithm – the same model that powered our San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield predictions – Argentinos JRS are given a 56.7% chance of victory, while Lanus trail with 21.7% win probability. The data highlights a low-scoring encounter, with just 1.9 expected match goals, making defensive solidity and clinical finishing decisive. A 2-0 correct scoreline is the most likely outcome, consistent with past results where Argentinos have shut Lanus out.
Home Win Probability: 56.70%
Draw Probability: 21.70%
Away Win Probability: 21.70%
Correct Score Prediction: Argentinos JRS 2-0 Lanus
Argentinos JRS to Win @ 2.38 – Backed by a majority probability, with recent head-to-head dominance.
Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 – With just 30% chance of over 2.5, the data strongly favours a cagey, low-scoring affair.
First Half Outlook: A 56.7% probability of a half-time draw suggests a slow-burning opening before Argentinos take control late on.
Goals Projection: Just 1.9 total match goals expected, highlighting the value in unders markets.
30 Jul 2024 – Argentinos JRS 2-0 Lanus
30 Oct 2021 – Argentinos JRS 0-1 Lanus
08 Feb 2020 – Argentinos JRS 0-0 Lanus
31 Aug 2018 – Argentinos JRS 2-0 Lanus
Recent history leans in Argentinos’ favour, particularly in cup and league play over the last five years.
Both Teams to Score – No @ 1.62 – With only 46.7% BTTS probability, backing against goals for both sides offers solid value.
Half-Time/Full-Time – Draw/Home @ 4.50 – Supported by the algorithm’s Draw → Home trend, reflecting how Argentinos often grow into games.
Over 0.5 First Half Goals @ 1.53 – Despite the low overall total, there’s a 50% chance of at least one early goal.
Argentinos JRS to Win @ 2.38 – Data-backed and supported by head-to-head results, this is Football Park’s standout tip.
Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 – A defensively driven clash is the likeliest outcome, with goals expected to be scarce.
Referee: Appointment to be confirmed by the Argentine FA.
Broadcast Details: Live coverage across South American broadcasters and streaming platforms.
Venue: Neutral Copa Argentina venue – ensuring no side enjoys a home advantage.
Football Park’s predictions are built on algorithmic models analysing over 200 match data points. While probabilities highlight betting value, no outcome is certain. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.
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