Home Win
Atletico Tucuman 1 - 1 Newells Old Boys
Who will win?
1
Atletico Tucuman
x
Draw
2
Newells Old Boys
Atletico Tucuman meet Newells Old Boys in the Argentina Copa Argentina on Wednesday, August 13, 2025, with kick-off at 23:30 GMT. This knockout tie is expected to be a cagey, low-scoring battle, as reflected in Football Park’s model, which gives the draw the highest probability (46.7%), ahead of a home win (33.3%) and an away win (20%).
Our predictive data points to a tight match — the most likely correct score is 1-1, with total goals projected at 1.90. Historically, meetings between these two have been competitive, with four of their last six encounters ending in draws.
Below, we break down the Atletico Tucuman vs Newells Old Boys predictions and present our top two algorithm-backed betting tips.
Key Betting Tip: Atletico Tucuman to Win @ 2.75 – Higher win probability than the market implies, backed by home advantage in cup play.
## Atletico Tucuman vs Newells Old Boys Timeline & Context
Football Park’s predictive model suggests a tight first half with a 53.3% likelihood of being level at the break. Both teams have similar expected goal figures — 1.10 for Tucuman, 0.90 for Newells — underlining the balanced nature of this fixture. With only a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals, caution is advised for high-goals markets.
Model probabilities:
Home Win: 33.30%
Draw: 46.70%
Away Win: 20.00%
Correct Score Prediction: 1-1
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 30.00%
Both Teams to Score Probability: 46.70%
1. Atletico Tucuman to Win @ 2.75 Why? Home advantage and a higher-than-market win probability offer betting value.
Confidence Level: Medium
Risk Level: Moderate
2. Under 2.5 Match Goals (Odds dependent on market availability) Why? 70% probability of two goals or fewer, supported by historical H2H low-scoring trends.
Confidence Level: High
Risk Level: Low
Venue: Estadio Monumental José Fierro, Tucuman
Kick-off: 23:30 GMT, August 13, 2025
Competition: Argentina Copa Argentina
Football Park’s data points to a tight, tactical battle with few clear chances. Expect Atletico Tucuman to lean on home support to edge this contest, but extra time or penalties wouldn’t be a surprise if Newells frustrate them early.
Atletico Tucuman to Win @ 2.75
Under 2.5 Match Goals
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