Coppa Italia


Over 2.5
Atalanta 2 - 1 Genoa
Who will win?
1

Atalanta
x
Draw
2

Genoa
The Coppa Italia is one of the most historic competitions in Italy, dating back to the early 20th century. The round of 16 is upon us, with the 1963 Champions and 2024 Finalists, Atalanta BC hosting the 1937 Champions, Genoa. A quarter-final against Juventus or Udinese awaits whoever advances from this contest, as both teams look to bring their strong league form into this cup clash.
Key Betting Tip: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.91 odds (talkSPORT BET) represents excellent value based on the tip provided by our team of in-house tipsters.
Atalanta Predicted XI (3-4-1-2): Marco Carnesecchi (GK), Honest Ahanor, Berat Djimsiti, Odilon Kossounou, Nicola Zalewski, Marco Brescianini, Marten de Roon, Raoul Bellanova, Charles De Ketelaere, Nikola Krstovic, Gianluca Scamacca
Team News: First team centre half Giorgio Scalvini remains absent until mid-December with a muscle injury.
Genoa Predicted XI (3-5-2): Nicola Leali (GK), Johan Vasquez, Alessandro Marcandalli, Leo Ostigard, Brooke, Norton-Cuffy, Morten Frendrup, Nicolae Stanciu, Ruslan Malinovsky, Lorenzo Colombo, Vitinha
Team News: Attacking duo Junior Messias and Maxwel Cornet are absent until mid-December due to various muscle injuries.
Atalanta are yet to play in the Coppa Italia this year; this will be their first round due to their top-eight Serie A finish in 2024/25. AS for the Serie A, La Dea are 11th with 16 points from 13 games; they have scored 16 goals and conceded 14.
Genoa entered back in the first round, where the majority of Serie A & B sides commence their Coppa Italia journey. They beat Serie C’s Vicenza 3-0 at home in the first round, before winning 3-1 against Empoli at home once again in the second. As for their Serie A standing, Il Grifone are in 16th with 11 points from 13 games. They have scored 13 goals but conceded 20.
This exact meeting has occurred 42 times since 1989, but this will be the first time they have met in the cup since then. Across those 42 games, Atalanta came out on top the most with 18 wins, Genoa have 11 wins, and there have been 13 draws. Notably, Atalanta have won the last four meetings consecutively, with Genoa not overcoming La Dea in any of their last 11 meetings. In fact, the last time Genoa won a fixture against Atalanta was seven years ago in December 2018.
Recent Head-to-Head Results:
Fun Fact: There have been over 4.5 goals in each of the last three meetings between this pair!
Atalanta Last 5 Matches:
Raffaele Palladino has had a strong start to life in Bergamo, contesting a tough tie with Napoli before keeping two clean sheets against Frankfurt and Fiorentina. He has shifted to a reliable 3-4-1-2 formation that is defensively solid and should be on feature once again in the cup.
Genoa Last 5 Matches:
Genoa have gone four competitive games unbeaten for the first time since December 2024, when they managed a streak of six in all competitions. Daniele De Rossi is now three games into his stint as manager of the club, and is yet to lose, coaching his first win last weekend at home to Hellas Verona.
Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with 45% confidence in over 2.5 goals. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.
Football Park’s Best Bet: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.91 - Our team of in-house betting tipsters have predicted over 2.5 goala in this fixture. The teams’ form and head-to-head record justify confidence in this selection.
Charles De Ketelaere (Atalanta): La Dea are yet to have a player score over three goals this season, but have had 12 different goal scorers in all competitions, with over half having at least two strikes. De Ketelaere has shone under Palladino so far, scoring once and assisting twice in his last two games, and earning the highest FotMob rating on the pitch in both (8.5 & 9.1).
Leo Ostigard (Genoa): The former Coventry man has three goals and one assist in his last four Genoa games, incredible numbers for a centre half. The Norwegian has thrived under de Rossi and will be incredibly threatening from corners.
Broadcast Details: Premier Sports Player/Premier Sports 1 UK
Stadium Information: The Stadio Atleti Azzurri d’Italia, also known as the Stadio di Bergamo and the New Balance Arena for sponsorship reasons, was opened in 1928 and has a capacity of 23,439. It is often used for the Italian National Team and other national youth levels.
Referee: Yet to be announced.

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