Pafos vs Aris Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Pafos vs Aris Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Pafos host Aris on 21 November 2025, with kick-off scheduled for 17:00 GMT in the Cyprus 1. Division. The match takes place at the Stelios Kyriakides Stadium, where Pafos have historically performed strongly in this fixture.

As with our well-known analytical framework used in the San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips, this preview is built using Football Park’s advanced predictive model, which evaluates performance metrics, historical results, tactical tendencies and market pricing.

The data gives Pafos a 46.70% probability of victory, making the Home Win at 2.38 a compelling betting angle. Aris have just a 13.30% win likelihood, with the model favouring a lower-scoring contest dominated by Pafos phases of possession. Our prediction algorithm estimates a 2-0 correct score, highlighting the potential for a disciplined defensive display and controlled attacking sequences from the hosts.

Key Betting Tip: Pafos to Win at 2.38 offers attractive value based on projected match dynamics.

Pafos vs Aris Predictions

Football Park’s predictive model highlights a strong case for Pafos, supported by historical dominance and offensive reliability in head-to-head encounters.

Model Win Forecast:

• Pafos Win: 46.70%
• Draw: 40.00%
• Aris Win: 13.30%
• Projected Correct Score: Pafos 2-0 Aris
• Half-Time / Full-Time Recommendation: Draw / Home

The algorithm points to a measured first half before Pafos assert control, particularly due to efficient chance creation inside the central attacking channels.

Pafos vs Aris Lineups Insight

Official Pafos vs Aris lineups will be confirmed closer to kick-off, but match profiles suggest: Pafos likely operating in an attacking 4-2-3-1, prioritising sustained possession with overlapping full-backs, while Aris may use a compact 4-4-2 to reduce central overload and rely on counter-attacking width.

Tactical patterns imply a contest shaped by field progression, rest-defence stability and transitional conversion rates.

Pafos vs Aris Timeline & Match Goals

• Goal Expectation: 2.40
• Over 0.5 Goals: 95.00%
• Over 1.5 Goals: 60.00%
• Over 2.5 Goals: 35.00%
• Over 3.5 Goals: 35.00%

Momentum projection suggests a low-variance contest, most likely breaking open after the 25-minute mark. With only 46.70% BTTS probability, the model leans towards a one-sided scoring outcome.

Half-Time Expectations:

• HT Draw Probability: 60.00%
• HT Home Win: 33.30%

Pafos vs Aris Matches (Head-to-Head Results)

Pafos have dominated recent meetings:

• 04 May 2025 – Pafos 4-0 Aris
• 29 Sep 2024 – Pafos 1-1 Aris
• 16 Mar 2024 – Pafos 1-0 Aris
• 03 Jan 2024 – Pafos 1-0 Aris
• 12 Mar 2023 – Pafos 2-2 Aris
• 24 Feb 2023 – Pafos 1-1 Aris
• 29 Apr 2022 – Pafos 1-1 Aris
• 25 Feb 2022 – Pafos 1-1 Aris
• 14 Aug 2021 – Pafos 1-1 Aris
• 23 Jan 2019 – Pafos 4-1 Aris

Pafos have not lost at home to Aris in over six years, reinforcing the algorithm’s strong home-win position.

Best Pafos vs Aris Betting Tips

Football Park’s model identifies the two highest-value betting angles:

1. Pafos Win @ 2.38

Aligned with a 46.70% win probability and historical advantage.

2. Under 3.5 Match Goals

The model favours a controlled match state with 35.00% likelihood of the total surpassing this line. Unders present a statistically supported betting pathway.

Betting Strategy Guidance

Conservative Singles:

• Pafos Win
• Under 3.5 Goals

Moderate-Risk Builder Options:

• Pafos Win + Under 3.5 Goals
• Correct Score: Pafos 2-0 (higher variance)

Please wager responsibly and consider bankroll preservation when constructing slips.

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Football Park Predictions

Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football, including extensive Cyprus 1. Division coverage and algorithm-driven match previews. For more data-led insights, visit our dedicated predictions section.