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Pafos 2 - 1 Olympiakos
Who will win?
1
Pafos
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Draw
2
Olympiakos
Pafos face Olympiakos Nicosia at the Stelios Kyriakides Stadium on October 4, 2025, in a Cypriot First Division clash kicking off at 17:00 GMT. The home side are heavy favourites, with Football Park’s algorithm giving them a 48.3% chance of victory compared to just 13.3% for Olympiakos. The model also highlights the likelihood of a low-to-moderate scoring contest, projecting just 2.50 goals in total.
Football Park’s data-driven system has flagged this as a match where Pafos’ control and recent head-to-head dominance should make the difference. Olympiakos have managed to frustrate Pafos in the past with three consecutive 1-1 draws, but the balance of probabilities suggests the hosts are best placed to secure a narrow win this time.
This article delivers full Pafos vs Olympiakos predictions, betting tips, and insights into their rivalry, giving punters a clear, data-backed approach.
The timeline of Pafos vs Olympiakos matches shows a history of tight, competitive games:
Pafos have gone unbeaten in their last four against Olympiakos, with the visitors scoring just three goals in those fixtures. However, three consecutive 1-1 results underline Olympiakos’ ability to hold out, even against stronger opposition.
Football Park’s algorithm projects the following probabilities:
Home Win Probability: 48.3%
Draw Probability: 38.3%
Away Win Probability: 13.3%
The expected scoreline is 2-1 in favour of Pafos, with only 2.50 total goals projected.
Top Two Football Park Best Bets:
Pafos to Win @ 1.18 – Despite shorter odds, this is a strong value selection, given Olympiakos’ very low win probability.
Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.10 – With only a 16.3% chance of the match going over 2.5, and three of the last four head-to-heads finishing with two goals or fewer, this market is well supported by the data.
Our expert analysts recommend focusing on these two markets:
Pafos to Win @ 1.18: The hosts are overwhelming favourites and should control the game.
Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.10: A valuable play given the low-scoring history of this fixture and the algorithm’s expectation of a 2-1 or tighter result.
Punters seeking higher returns may consider Correct Score 2-1 @ 7.50, which aligns perfectly with the Football Park model’s projection.
Competition: Cypriot First Division
Date & Time: October 4, 2025 | 17:00 GMT
Venue: Stelios Kyriakides Stadium, Pafos
Referee: Appointment TBC
Broadcast: Cyprus – Cytavision | International – selected betting platforms
Home advantage has been critical in this rivalry, with Pafos unbeaten in their last four against Olympiakos on this ground.
Reviewing the Pafos vs Olympiakos matches across recent years:
Draw Specialists: Three straight 1-1 draws underline Olympiakos’ resilience.
Pafos Breakthrough: The 5-0 victory in 2021 showed their capacity to dominate when given space.
Goals Outlook: With Football Park predicting 2.50 goals, the data suggests a narrow, hard-fought contest rather than a rout.
This reinforces the case for backing Pafos in a low-scoring match, rather than chasing high-goals markets.
At Football Park, we always encourage responsible gambling. Bet within your means, and treat wagering as entertainment rather than a guaranteed outcome.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.
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