Home Win
ADO Den Haag 3 - 2 Almere City
Who will win?
1
ADO Den Haag
x
Draw
2
Almere City
ADO Den Haag host Almere City FC at the Bingoal Stadion on 18 September 2025, with kick-off at 19:00 GMT, in what promises to be a high-intensity Eerste Divisie clash. The hosts enter with strong home momentum, while Almere carry a reputation for being dangerous on the counter, setting up a fascinating tactical contest.
This preview uses Football Park’s proprietary algorithm, which evaluates over 200 data points per match. The model projects ADO Den Haag as 55.7% favourites to win, with a 3-2 correct scoreline the most likely outcome. Our analysts expect a wide-open, high-scoring encounter, and have isolated two standout value selections from our betting model.
Examining the recent ADO Den Haag vs Almere City FC matches shows a compelling head-to-head narrative:
Den Haag have edged two of the last three meetings, while Almere have shown they can exploit spaces on the break. The combined average of 3.0 goals per match across this run underlines why our model leans heavily towards a goal-rich fixture.
Our ADO Den Haag vs Almere City FC predictions suggest this will be one of the round’s most open fixtures:
Home Win Probability: 55.7%
Draw Probability: 13.3%
Away Win Probability: 31.0%
Correct Score Projection: 3-2
Expected Match Goals: 3.50
Both Teams to Score Probability: 71.1%
Over 2.5 Match Goals Probability: 61.8%
Over 3.5 Match Goals Probability: 48.3%
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Draw / Home
The model forecasts both sides finding the net, with Den Haag likely taking control after the break. With over 3.5 goals landing in nearly half our simulations, this is flagged as one of the highest-scoring projections on the current slate.
Our algorithm highlights two top-rated value selections for bettors:
Best Bet 1: ADO Den Haag to Win @ 1.80 With a 55.7% win probability and home advantage, Den Haag represent the most statistically supported outcome in this clash.
Best Bet 2: Both Teams to Score + ADO Den Haag Win @ 3.10 (Estimated Market Price) Our model rates Home + BTTS at 60.8%, marking it as an excellent high-yield selection if you’re seeking value beyond the match result market.
These recommendations align with Football Park’s proven value-betting methodology, offering clear, data-backed staking angles.
Match Odds: ADO Den Haag 1.80 | Draw 4.00 | Almere City FC 3.80
Most Likely Scoreline: 3-2 ADO Den Haag
Venue: Bingoal Stadion, Den Haag — a tight, intense atmosphere that often amplifies the hosts’ aggressive press.
Broadcast Details:
Netherlands: ESPN NL
Europe: DAZN (selected territories)
Global: OneFootball (streaming)
Conditions are expected to be dry with a fast surface, which should favour Den Haag’s attacking combinations and Almere’s transitional pace — a recipe for end-to-end football.
All indicators from Football Park’s model point to a high-scoring home win, with Den Haag expected to eventually overpower Almere’s resistance in a wide-open attacking contest.
Key Data Points:
55.7% home win probability
71.1% BTTS probability
61.8% over 2.5 goals probability
3-2 correct scoreline projection
Recommended Bets:
ADO Den Haag to Win @ 1.80
ADO Den Haag to Win & Both Teams to Score @ 3.10 (Est.)
Always remember to bet responsibly, and use Football Park’s dedicated betting strategy guides and bankroll management tools to sustain long-term profit potential.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.
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