Home Win
Almere City FC 2 - 1 Jong Utrecht
Who will win?
1
Almere City FC
x
Draw
2
Jong Utrecht
Almere City welcome Jong Utrecht to the Yanmar Stadion on Friday, 26 September 2025 (19:00 GMT) in the Dutch Eerste Divisie. The hosts are strong favourites with 73.3% win probability, underlined by a dominant H2H record at home. The model projects a 2-1 win, with 3.2 expected goals and a 66.7% chance of both teams scoring.
Date: 26 September 2025
Kick-Off: 19:00 GMT
Competition: Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Venue: Yanmar Stadion, Almere – a modern, compact ground where Almere have been consistently strong.
Referee: TBC
Netherlands: ESPN NL
International: Bet365, Unibet & Bwin (streaming in selected regions)
Home Win Probability: 73.3%
Away Win Probability: 20.0%
Draw Probability: 6.7%
Correct Score Prediction: 2-1
Both Teams to Score Probability: 66.7%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 65%
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Draw/Home
Almere City FC to Win @ 1.45 – Backed by a high win probability and consistent dominance in this fixture.
Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 1.91 – With 3.2 expected goals and both sides likely to score, this market offers solid value.
Expected Match Goals: 3.20
Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 100%
Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 70%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 65%
Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 55%
First Half Goals Projection: 1.00 (60% chance of at least one first-half goal)
Best Bet 1: Almere City FC to Win @ 1.45
Best Bet 2: Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 1.91
With Almere’s attack averaging over 2 goals per home game and Jong Utrecht vulnerable defensively, this matchup is primed for goals. A 2-1 or 3-1 scoreline fits both the model’s projections and historical trends.
At Football Park, predictions are based on advanced statistical models to highlight value. Football remains unpredictable – always bet responsibly and never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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