Home Win
Den Bosch 3 - 1 Jong AZ
Who will win?
1
Den Bosch
x
Draw
2
Jong AZ
Den Bosch host Jong AZ in the Netherlands Eerste Divisie on 24 September 2025 at 19:00 GMT, with both sides looking to assert themselves in one of the league’s most unpredictable fixtures. Football Park’s data-driven model offers insights powered by algorithmic analysis of over 200 data points.
The numbers give Den Bosch a 53.3% chance of victory, while Jong AZ are rated at just 20% with a 26.7% likelihood of a draw. A high-scoring clash is expected, with projections of 3.5 total goals, and the model highlights Den Bosch to win @ 2.40 and Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 as the strongest betting selections. Recent meetings suggest volatility, with Den Bosch winning heavily in their last encounter, but history showing goals at both ends.
Home Win Probability: 53.30%
Draw Probability: 26.70%
Away Win Probability: 20.00%
Correct Score Prediction: 3-1
Top 2 Percentage Best Bets
Den Bosch to Win @ 2.40 – Backed by the algorithm’s 53.3% win probability and strong home goal projection (2.3 goals expected).
Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 – Supported by a 60% likelihood, with both teams averaging a combined 3.5 expected match goals.
Goals Projection: Den Bosch (2.3) vs Jong AZ (1.2).
Expected Total Goals: 3.5 – Overs markets hold clear value.
BTTS Probability: 63.3% – Both teams have attacking threats and a tendency to concede.
First Half Outlook: 1.73 goals forecast, with a 47% chance of 2+ goals before half-time.
HT/FT Trend: Home/Home result is the strongest algorithm outcome, reflecting Den Bosch’s likelihood to control both halves.
The fixture has been eventful in recent years:
Den Bosch have been dominant, winning five of the last eight meetings, including a stunning 6-0 victory last season.
Home Win @ 2.40 – Strong value considering historical dominance and model probability.
Away Win @ 2.40 – Priced evenly but algorithm suggests just a 20% likelihood.
Draw @ 3.60 – Possible but less likely than a decisive outcome.
BTTS – Implied at 63.3%, but market pricing unavailable in current data.
Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 – One of the standout markets with consistent head-to-head support.
Over 3.5 Goals @ n/a – With 45% probability, a higher-risk option worth monitoring.
Best Den Bosch vs Jong AZ Betting Tips
Den Bosch to Win @ 2.40 – Supported by strong algorithm probabilities and recent dominance.
Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 – Consistently profitable in this matchup, with 3+ goals expected.
Date & Kick-off: 24 September 2025 | 19:00 GMT
Venue: Stadion De Vliert, ‘s-Hertogenbosch
Predicted Outcome: Den Bosch win, likely 3-1
Broadcast: Available through Dutch domestic broadcasters and select international streaming services.
Football Park predictions are powered by statistical modelling and expert analysis, designed to highlight betting value rather than certainties. Please gamble responsibly and within your means.
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