Home Win
Emmen 2 - 1 Almere City FC
Who will win?
1
Emmen
x
Draw
2
Almere City FC
The Netherlands Eerste Divisie action kicks off early on Sunday, August 17, 2025, as Emmen welcome Almere City FC to De Oude Meerdijk for an 11:15 GMT start. Football Park’s algorithm sees the hosts as a genuine threat here, rating their chances of victory at 50.00%, with the match also tipped to deliver plenty of goals.
Our model projects a lively 3.30 total match goals, with both teams carrying significant attacking potential. Given Almere’s defensive vulnerabilities away from home and Emmen’s strong opening-half stats, this is a fixture where bettors can expect early action and scoring opportunities.
Key Betting Tip: Emmen to Win @ 3.00 – strong home win probability combined with a favourable head-to-head history makes this a high-value play.
Football Park’s Best Bet: Emmen to Win @ 3.00 – backed by a 50% win probability and historical home advantage in this matchup.
Our top two highest-rated percentage selections for this match are:
Emmen Win – 50.00% Probability
Over 2.5 Goals – 63.80% Probability
With Emmen’s attack expected to produce at least two goals and Almere City capable of replying, the model supports a home victory in an open game.
Emmen have won two of the last four home meetings, including a 3-0 victory in November 2021, and are forecast to score twice here. Their strong 58.3% half-time lead probability suggests they can establish early control.
With 63.80% confidence, the model expects goals. Both teams rank highly for attacking output in similar matchups, and previous meetings have produced scorelines like 3-0 and 2-2.
Expect a quick start, with an 85% chance of a first-half goal and a healthy 22% probability of at least two before the break. Emmen’s direct approach at home should trouble Almere, while the visitors’ pace in transition could keep things end-to-end.
Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the last 4 meetings.
Emmen have scored 2+ goals in three of their last four home games vs Almere.
Both Teams to Score has landed in two of the last three encounters.
The data points towards a competitive, attack-driven match where the home side’s edge in finishing quality could be decisive. Goals look likely, but the value is with Emmen’s upset potential at home.
Emmen to Win @ 3.00
Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.70
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