Eerste Divisie


Over 2.5
Jong AZ 2 - 1 FC Eindhoven
Who will win?
1

Jong AZ
x
Draw
2

FC Eindhoven
The Netherlands Eerste Divisie action continues on 3 November 2025, as Jong AZ welcome FC Eindhoven to the AFAS Training Complex in Alkmaar for an intriguing encounter kicking off at 19:00 GMT.
Football Park’s data-driven model — the same algorithm powering our San Lorenzo vs Vélez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips — highlights this fixture as one of the round’s most attack-heavy matchups. Both sides have been consistent in front of goal this season, and their previous meetings suggest another open contest with plenty of scoring opportunities.
Our algorithm indicates high value in the Over 2.5 Goals market, with a 70% confidence rating, supported by both teams’ offensive profiles and defensive vulnerabilities. With Jong AZ averaging more than two expected goals at home and FC Eindhoven finding the net regularly in away games, this matchup promises end-to-end action and multiple scoring chances.
Competition: Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Date: 3 November 2025
Kick-off: 19:00 GMT
Venue: AFAS Training Complex, Alkmaar
Jong AZ vs FC Eindhoven Lineups & Tactical Overview
While confirmed Jong AZ vs FC Eindhoven lineups will be released closer to kick-off, Football Park’s predictive model offers insight into the likely tactical flow of this encounter.
Jong AZ tend to play high-tempo, possession-based football with an emphasis on quick transitions and overlapping full-backs. Their expected home goals (2.10) reflect both attacking depth and efficiency. FC Eindhoven, on the other hand, operate best in counter-attacking situations, where their pacey forwards exploit space behind the defense.
Key algorithm metrics include:
Expected Match Goals: 3.30
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 70.00%
Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 70.00%
Both Teams to Score Probability: 46.70%
Correct Score Projection: 2-1 Jong AZ
The data suggests that Jong AZ’s offensive quality should shine through, particularly in the second half, while Eindhoven’s ability to strike on the break could keep the scoreline competitive.
Football Park’s advanced algorithm — which analyses over 200 performance variables — projects a high-scoring game, with the following outcome probabilities:
Home Win: 46.70%
Draw: 20.00%
Away Win: 33.30%
Expected First Half Goals: 1.07
Half-Time Prediction: Draw
Half-Time / Full-Time Prediction: Draw / Home
This distribution aligns with the statistical trends from both sides’ recent performances. Jong AZ’s home advantage and stronger attacking profile give them the edge, though FC Eindhoven’s resilience away from home ensures this won’t be straightforward.
The 2-1 correct score projection represents the most likely result, capturing both teams’ expected contribution to a match full of attacking intensity.
Looking at the Jong AZ vs FC Eindhoven timeline, the head-to-head data provides further support for an attacking spectacle:
4 Oct 2024: Jong AZ 2-3 FC Eindhoven
15 Sep 2023: Jong AZ 0-0 FC Eindhoven
17 Mar 2023: Jong AZ 1-1 FC Eindhoven
25 Feb 2022: Jong AZ 1-3 FC Eindhoven
1 Feb 2021: Jong AZ 3-2 FC Eindhoven
Six of the last seven meetings between these clubs have produced Over 2.5 Goals, with multiple 3-2 or 2-3 scorelines illustrating their attacking nature. Jong AZ have scored in all but one of those fixtures, while FC Eindhoven have found the net in every visit to Alkmaar since 2018.
This trend further validates Football Park’s high-confidence pick in the total goals market.
1. Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57
This is Football Park’s top-rated algorithm selection. With a 70% probability of Over 2.5 Goals and both teams averaging over 1.5 goals per game, this market carries strong statistical justification.
The Eerste Divisie consistently delivers high-scoring matches, and these two sides are among its most entertaining. Both have defensive weaknesses that complement their attacking styles, making the Over 2.5 line an excellent value selection.
2. Jong AZ Win @ 1.65
Jong AZ’s projected win probability of 46.7% gives this market notable edge over its 1.65 odds pricing. Their strong home scoring form, coupled with FC Eindhoven’s away inconsistency, supports this bet.
The model also predicts a Draw / Home Half-Time / Full-Time outcome, suggesting Jong AZ’s attacking dominance will show later in the match as Eindhoven tire defensively.
From a value betting perspective, two standout markets emerge:
Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 – Backed by historical data, algorithmic probability, and consistent scoring from both sides.
Jong AZ to Win @ 1.65 – Supported by strong home advantage metrics and expected goal superiority.
Both align with Football Park’s data-centric model and reflect positive expected value when compared with market odds.
Responsible Gambling Message: Always bet responsibly. Football Park’s analytics are designed to guide decision-making based on probability, not guarantee outcomes. Wager within your limits and treat betting as a form of entertainment grounded in statistical reasoning.
Football Park’s algorithm is built on over 200 data points per match, including possession metrics, shot quality, defensive structure, set-piece efficiency, and tactical tempo. By combining quantitative and qualitative insights, our system consistently identifies high-value markets across European football.
The model’s proven accuracy across competitions like the Eerste Divisie, Serie B, and Ligue 2 has made Football Park one of the most trusted destinations for intelligent betting advice.
Explore more data-driven insights and match previews in our Football Park Predictions hub for upcoming fixtures across Europe’s top leagues.
With both sides averaging over three expected goals combined and a long history of goal-heavy fixtures, expect an open and entertaining encounter in Alkmaar.
Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57
Jong AZ to Win @ 1.65
Predicted Score: Jong AZ 2-1 FC Eindhoven Predicted Outcome: Half-Time Draw / Full-Time Home
Attacking momentum, home advantage, and tactical tempo make this one of the standout fixtures for goal markets in this week’s Eerste Divisie slate.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.

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