Egypt Second League
Draw
Itesalat 1 - 1 Tersana
Who will win?
1
Itesalat
x
Draw
2
Tersana
Match Date: Thursday, 16 October 2025 Kick-off: 18:00 GMT Competition: Egypt Second League
Itesalat welcome Tersana in a crucial Egypt Second League fixture, with both teams looking to gain ground in what has been a tightly contested mid-table race. Football Park’s algorithm projects an evenly matched encounter, where defensive solidity could dictate the outcome.
The predictive model leans slightly toward Itesalat at home, though the 49% probability of a draw signals that fine margins may decide this one. Recent head-to-head meetings underline that expectation — each of the last three encounters at Itesalat’s ground has ended either in a draw or a narrow home victory.
Football Park’s predictive engine evaluates over 200 performance variables, factoring in form, defensive strength, and scoring probability:
Home Win Probability: 31.00%
Away Win Probability: 20.00%
Draw Probability: 49.00%
Both Teams to Score Probability: 56.70%
Expected Match Goals: 2.00
The most likely result from the model is a 1-1 draw, consistent with previous meetings and the teams’ scoring averages.
## Key Betting Tips
The data supports a 49% likelihood of a draw, the highest-rated outcome in this matchup. Both sides have drawn two of their last three encounters, including a 1-1 result earlier this year. With neither side showing dominant attacking metrics, the draw offers the most logical and value-driven play. Recommended Bet: Draw @ 2.60
A 56.7% BTTS probability suggests both sides are capable of finding the net despite limited offensive output. Each of the last three head-to-head meetings has seen both teams score, with Itesalat averaging 1.3 home goals per game and Tersana producing 1.1 away goals this season. Recommended Bet: Both Teams to Score @ 1.80 (estimated)
10 May 2025: Itesalat 1-1 Tersana
01 Dec 2022: Itesalat 3-1 Tersana
17 Dec 2021: Itesalat 1-1 Tersana
These results underline the historic balance between the two clubs. Itesalat have avoided defeat in their last three home meetings with Tersana, consistently finding the net while limiting the visitors’ goal opportunities.
Over 0.5 Match Goals: 85% probability
Over 1.5 Match Goals: 60% probability
Over 2.5 Match Goals: 33.3% probability
Over 0.5 First Half Goals: 69% probability
The numbers suggest a moderately paced game with a high likelihood of at least one first-half goal but limited potential for a high-scoring affair.
Football Park’s predictive model forecasts a low-intensity, evenly balanced contest. The most probable scenario remains a 1-1 draw, aligning with both teams’ current form and scoring patterns. For bettors, the Draw and Both Teams to Score markets offer the most statistically supported value.
Expect a controlled, tactical matchup with a cautious first half before both sides open up later in the game.
At Football Park, we encourage responsible betting at all times. Our predictions are based on statistical models, not guarantees.
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