Over 1.5
El Gouna FC 2 - 1 Petrojet
Who will win?
1
El Gouna FC
x
Draw
2
Petrojet
El Gouna FC face Petrojet at the El Gouna Stadium on 20 September 2025 at 18:00 GMT in a tightly poised Egyptian Premier League clash. Historically, this fixture has delivered competitive, narrow scorelines, and Football Park’s data model anticipates another finely balanced encounter here.
Football Park’s algorithm analyses over 200 match-specific data points to forecast outcomes with accuracy and identify value betting opportunities. Ahead of this match, our model gives El Gouna a 40% win probability, Petrojet 20%, and a 40% chance of a draw, with a modest 56.7% chance of both teams scoring.
Below, we break down the El Gouna FC vs Petrojet timeline of previous matches, present our algorithm-driven predictions, and highlight our two top-rated Football Park betting selections.
Recent El Gouna FC vs Petrojet matches have tended to produce goals, and notably, El Gouna have dominated their head-to-head record in recent years:
These results underline a pattern of El Gouna scoring multiple goals while keeping Petrojet at arm’s length. The head-to-head trend supports our model’s edge in favour of the home side once again.
Football Park’s model projects a cagey first half followed by a narrow El Gouna edge, with limited goals but the home side’s attacking efficiency proving decisive:
Home Win Probability: 40.0%
Away Win Probability: 20.0%
Draw Probability: 40.0%
Most Likely Correct Score: 2-1
Both Teams to Score Probability: 56.7%
Expected Match Goals: 2.20
Expected First Half Goals: 0.84
Over 1.5 Match Goals Probability: 55%
Over 2.5 Match Goals Probability: 35%
Half-Time / Full-Time Projection: Draw / Draw
With a 57.7% chance of a level score at half-time, the data points to a low-tempo opening period before El Gouna push on in the second half. Petrojet’s away form and reduced attacking output contribute to their low 20% win probability.
Based on our model’s highest-value percentages, Football Park recommends these two top-rated bets:
Best Bet 1: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.50 With a 55% probability and both teams carrying attacking threats, this line presents the clearest value. Even if the first half is tight, the data suggests the match will open up after the break.
Best Bet 2: Both Teams to Score @ 2.10 Backed by a 56.7% probability, this market aligns with our projection of Petrojet breaching El Gouna’s defence even if the home side dominate possession.
These two selections reflect the algorithm’s outlook: a slow-burning match that grows in intensity, producing goals at both ends.
Win Probabilities: El Gouna 40% | Petrojet 20% | Draw 40%
Most Likely Scoreline: 2-1
Both Teams to Score Probability: 56.7%
Expected First Half Goals: 0.84
Over 1.5 Match Goals Probability: 55%
Broadcast Details:
Egypt: ONTime Sports
MENA Region: beIN Sports
International: DAZN (selected territories)
Venue Insight: The El Gouna Stadium has proven a stronghold for the hosts, and Football Park’s model factors this home advantage heavily into their superior 40% win probability projection.
Football Park’s data-driven projections anticipate a closely fought contest with El Gouna FC marginally favoured to edge out Petrojet.
Recommended bets:
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.50
Both Teams to Score @ 2.10
Stay disciplined and bet responsibly — and for more value plays, check our full range of Football Park betting guides and predictions.
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