Wisla Plock vs Nieciecza Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips Predictions

Wisla Plock vs Nieciecza Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Match Date: Monday, 20 October 2025 Kick-off: 18:00 GMT Competition: Poland Ekstraklasa

Match Overview

Wisla Plock host Nieciecza in a fixture that presents a clear opportunity for the home side to consolidate their mid-table push. Football Park’s predictive model gives Wisla Plock a 55.7% chance of victory, underlining their strong home advantage and attacking efficiency.

Nieciecza, meanwhile, have struggled away from home, particularly against possession-heavy sides. They’ve conceded three goals or more in two of their last three visits to Plock and enter this clash with defensive vulnerabilities that Football Park’s data expects the hosts to exploit.

With 2.5 expected total goals and 57.8% probability for Both Teams to Score, the numbers suggest an open, competitive fixture likely to feature chances at both ends.

Football Park Algorithm Predictions

Football Park’s machine-learning model evaluates over 200 in-game and historical variables — from expected goals and shot locations to defensive recoveries and tactical efficiency — to produce the most probable outcomes:

Home Win Probability: 55.70%

Away Win Probability: 13.30%

Draw Probability: 31.00%

Both Teams to Score Probability: 57.80%

Expected Match Goals: 2.50

The model’s predicted correct score of 2-1 mirrors recent head-to-head results, where Wisla Plock have consistently dominated Nieciecza at home.

Key Betting Tips

1. Wisla Plock to Win @ 1.95

With a 55.7% win probability, Wisla Plock enter as strong favourites. Their home form has been impressive, averaging 1.7 expected goals per game, and they’ve beaten Nieciecza in two consecutive home matches, scoring six times in the process.

Nieciecza’s poor away metrics — just 0.8 expected goals per match — further reinforce the home win value. Recommended Bet: Wisla Plock to Win @ 1.95

2. Over 2.5 Match Goals @ 1.85

Football Park’s data forecasts 2.5 expected goals and a 75% probability for Over 1.5, suggesting this could develop into an open encounter.

Wisla Plock’s last three home fixtures have averaged 3.2 total goals, while Nieciecza have conceded at least twice in five of their last six away games. Recommended Bet: Over 2.5 Match Goals @ 1.85

Head-to-Head Timeline – Wisla Plock vs Nieciecza Matches

10 Mar 2025: Wisla Plock 3-0 Nieciecza

19 Aug 2023: Wisla Plock 3-1 Nieciecza

05 Nov 2021: Wisla Plock 1-1 Nieciecza

Wisla Plock have been dominant in this fixture, winning two of the last three meetings and scoring seven goals in that span. Nieciecza have failed to win in Plock since returning to the Ekstraklasa.

Statistical Breakdown – Wisla Plock vs Nieciecza Predictions

Over 0.5 Match Goals: 100% probability

Over 1.5 Match Goals: 75% probability

Over 2.5 Match Goals: 31.8% probability

Both Teams to Score: 57.8% probability

Over 0.5 First Half Goals: 93% probability

Half-Time Home Win Probability: 44.3%

Wisla Plock’s tendency to start quickly is supported by their 93% likelihood of scoring before halftime and a 1.36 expected first-half goals metric.

Betting Outlook

Football Park’s algorithm expects Wisla Plock to extend their dominant home run over Nieciecza. The combination of attacking consistency and opponent defensive frailty supports both the Home Win and Over 2.5 Goals markets.

Predicted outcome: Wisla Plock 2-1 Nieciecza Most valuable markets: Wisla Plock to Win and Over 2.5 Goals.

Responsible Gambling Message

At Football Park, we encourage a data-led, responsible approach to football betting. Our insights are based on objective algorithms and statistical analysis, not guaranteed outcomes.

Always set a budget, know your limits, and gamble for enjoyment. For assistance or information on safer betting, visit BeGambleAware.org or your regional responsible gambling resource.