Bodo/Glimt vs Molde Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips Predictions

Bodo/Glimt vs Molde Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Match Date: Sunday, 26 October 2025 Kick-off: 17:00 GMT Competition: Norway Eliteserien

Match Overview

Two of Norway’s heavyweights lock horns at the Aspmyra Stadion as Bodo/Glimt host Molde in what promises to be another fiery Eliteserien encounter. Football Park’s model rates Bodo/Glimt as narrow favourites with a 40% win probability, though Molde’s attacking efficiency ensures this will be anything but straightforward.

Both sides are renowned for high-tempo, attacking football, and with 3.4 expected match goals, data points to a goal-rich fixture. Molde’s recent record in this matchup — scoring in eight of the last nine meetings — reinforces expectations of another end-to-end contest.

Football Park Algorithm Predictions

Based on advanced metrics such as expected goals (xG), shot conversion, and transition efficiency, Football Park’s predictive model estimates:

Home Win Probability: 40.00%

Away Win Probability: 20.00%

Draw Probability: 40.00%

Both Teams to Score Probability: 66.70%

Expected Match Goals: 3.40

The simulation model’s most frequent outcome is a 2-1 home win, though both teams are highly likely to find the net.

Key Betting Tips

Both Teams to Score @ 1.57

Both Bodo/Glimt and Molde are elite attacking outfits in Norway’s top flight. Bodo/Glimt average over 2 goals per home match, while Molde have found the net in 14 of their last 16 away fixtures.

The model gives this market a 66.7% probability, supported by historical form — both teams have scored in seven of the last eight head-to-head games. Recommended Bet: Both Teams to Score @ 1.57

Over 2.5 Match Goals @ 1.33

These two sides consistently produce open, attacking matches. With 3.4 expected goals and both teams boasting top-tier offensive efficiency, the over market is statistically well-backed.

Five of the last six meetings have produced three or more goals, including a thrilling 3-5 encounter in 2024. Recommended Bet: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.33

Head-to-Head Timeline – Bodo/Glimt vs Molde

21 Apr 2024: Bodo/Glimt 1-1 Molde

25 Mar 2024: Bodo/Glimt 3-5 Molde

09 Dec 2023: Bodo/Glimt 0-1 Molde

02 Jul 2023: Bodo/Glimt 2-2 Molde

03 Sep 2022: Bodo/Glimt 1-4 Molde

26 Jul 2020: Bodo/Glimt 3-1 Molde

14 Apr 2019: Bodo/Glimt 3-2 Molde

This fixture is historically goal-heavy — averaging 4.1 goals per game in their last seven meetings — and rarely short of attacking action.

Statistical Breakdown – Bodo/Glimt vs Molde Predictions

Over 0.5 Match Goals: 95% probability

Over 1.5 Match Goals: 85% probability

Over 2.5 Match Goals: 55% probability

Over 3.5 Match Goals: 50% probability

Both Teams to Score: 66.7% probability

Correct Score Prediction: 2-1 Bodo/Glimt

Expect a high-octane encounter with both sides contributing to a fast-paced, chance-heavy affair.

Betting Outlook

With both teams chasing late-season momentum, expect attacking intent from the first whistle. Bodo/Glimt’s home strength and Molde’s counter-attacking efficiency make this a perfect setup for goals.

Predicted outcome: Bodo/Glimt 2-1 Molde Most valuable markets: Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals

Responsible Gambling Message

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