Haugesund vs Tromso Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips Predictions

Haugesund vs Tromso Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Match Date: Sunday, 26 October 2025 Kick-off: 17:00 GMT Competition: Norway Eliteserien

Match Overview

Haugesund host Tromso at the Haugesund Stadion in a high-stakes Eliteserien encounter that promises goals and open play. Despite being massive underdogs at 9.50 odds, Haugesund’s attacking data and strong home record against Tromso suggest this match could produce an upset.

Football Park’s model gives Haugesund a 53.3% chance of victory, compared to Tromso’s 33.3%, showing that the data doesn’t fully align with the bookmakers’ pricing — indicating potential value on the hosts. With 3.5 expected match goals, this fixture projects as one of the weekend’s most entertaining matches.

Football Park Algorithm Predictions

The Football Park model — powered by key indicators like expected goals (xG), possession trends, and shot accuracy — predicts the following outcomes:

Home Win Probability: 53.30%

Away Win Probability: 33.30%

Draw Probability: 13.30%

Both Teams to Score Probability: 73.30%

Expected Match Goals: 3.50

Simulations most often produced a 3-2 home win, with Haugesund converting home advantage into narrow success in a game rich with attacking chances.

Key Betting Tips

Haugesund to Win @ 9.50

Despite long odds, Haugesund’s historical dominance at home against Tromso — winning seven of their last eight home meetings — makes them an appealing value play.

With a 53.3% win probability and an expected 1.9 home goals, the model suggests the market is underestimating Haugesund’s chances. Recommended Bet: Haugesund to Win @ 9.50

Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score @ 2.30

This fixture consistently produces goals. In fact, eight of the last nine meetings have seen over 2.5 goals, and both teams have scored in the majority of those.

With 3.5 expected goals and a 73.3% BTTS probability, this combination bet is strongly backed by data. Recommended Bet: Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score @ 2.30

Head-to-Head Timeline – Haugesund vs Tromso

10 Nov 2024: Haugesund 2-0 Tromso

29 May 2023: Haugesund 1-2 Tromso

04 Sep 2022: Haugesund 2-1 Tromso

04 Jul 2021: Haugesund 3-0 Tromso

14 Jul 2019: Haugesund 5-1 Tromso

27 May 2018: Haugesund 1-0 Tromso

02 Jul 2017: Haugesund 2-0 Tromso

14 Aug 2016: Haugesund 2-1 Tromso

Haugesund have dominated this fixture at home for nearly a decade, winning seven of the last eight at Haugesund Stadion and scoring two or more goals in each victory.

Statistical Breakdown – Haugesund vs Tromso Predictions

Over 0.5 Match Goals: 100% probability

Over 1.5 Match Goals: 95% probability

Over 2.5 Match Goals: 75% probability

Over 3.5 Match Goals: 50% probability

Both Teams to Score: 73.3% probability

Correct Score Prediction: 3-2 Haugesund

Expect goals, intensity, and plenty of attacking action — especially in the second half, where both teams tend to push forward.

Betting Outlook

While Tromso remain the bookies’ favourites, Football Park’s data-driven projection heavily supports a more competitive matchup. Haugesund’s attacking output at home and consistent record against Tromso suggest real upset potential.

Predicted outcome: Haugesund 3-2 Tromso Most valuable markets: Haugesund Win & Over 2.5 Goals + BTTS

Responsible Gambling Message

All Football Park predictions are based on data-driven models and historical analysis — not certainties. Always gamble responsibly: set betting limits, avoid chasing losses, and treat wagering as entertainment.

For advice and support, visit BeGambleAware.org or contact your local responsible gambling organisation.