BTTS Yes
Sarpsborg 08 FF 1 - 1 Kristiansund BK
Who will win?
1
Sarpsborg 08 FF
x
Draw
2
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF host Kristiansund BK in a crucial Norway Eliteserien clash on 25 August 2025, with kick-off set for 18:00 GMT. The match takes place at Sarpsborg Stadion, where the hosts will be keen to overturn a poor recent record against Kristiansund. According to Football Park’s advanced predictive model, this contest is finely balanced, with the algorithm forecasting a high probability of goals (2.9 expected match goals) and a strong chance of both teams scoring (66.7%).
Football Park’s system evaluates over 200 performance variables including historical trends, scoring patterns, and game-state probabilities. While the odds favour Sarpsborg at 1.57, our model highlights other betting angles with more value for punters.
Our data-driven forecasts:
Home Win Probability: 33.30%
Away Win Probability: 26.70%
Draw Probability: 40.00%
Correct Score Projection: 1-1
The draw emerges as the most probable outcome, supported by a high 46.7% chance of half-time parity and the model’s inclination towards a low-margin contest.
Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 – Backed by a 50% likelihood, aligning with the 2.9 expected match goals.
Both Teams to Score @ 1.50 – Supported by a 66.7% model probability.
Head-to-head history has leaned in favour of Kristiansund in recent seasons:
15 Sep 2024: Sarpsborg 08 FF 0-2 Kristiansund
06 Nov 2022: Sarpsborg 08 FF 2-2 Kristiansund
27 May 2021: Sarpsborg 08 FF 0-1 Kristiansund
02 Dec 2020: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1-1 Kristiansund
12 May 2019: Sarpsborg 08 FF 0-1 Kristiansund
In the last six meetings, Kristiansund have won three and drawn two, suggesting Sarpsborg’s short 1.57 odds might not reflect historical balance.
The Football Park algorithm expects an open, end-to-end encounter. Sarpsborg are projected to edge the scoring at 1.7 expected goals, but Kristiansund’s 1.3 expected goals indicates the visitors are likely to find the net as well.
Key data-driven matchups:
Early goals likely: A 67% probability of over 0.5 first-half goals, supported by both sides averaging strong attacking starts.
Draw-heavy profile: With a 40% chance of a stalemate and a model-predicted 1-1 scoreline, the draw remains an underrated option in betting markets.
Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 – Strongly backed by the model with nearly a 50% strike rate.
Both Teams to Score @ 1.50 – Supported by the high 66.7% probability of goals at both ends.
For punters chasing higher returns, the correct score 1-1 fits perfectly with our predictive model and head-to-head history.
All Football Park predictions are algorithm-driven, but no outcome is guaranteed. Always wager responsibly, using data insights as a guide rather than certainty.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.
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