BTTS Yes
Birmingham 2 - 1 Sheffield Wednesday
Who will win?
1
Birmingham
x
Draw
2
Sheffield Wednesday
Birmingham host Sheffield Wednesday at St Andrew’s on Tuesday, 30 September 2025 (19:45 GMT) in the Championship. The Blues enter as strong favourites with a 53.3% win probability, while the Owls have just a 20% chance of victory. The model projects a 2-1 Birmingham win, but with a 60% chance of both teams scoring, the BTTS market offers notable value.
Date: 30 September 2025
Kick-Off: 19:45 GMT
Competition: England Championship
Venue: St Andrew’s, Birmingham – a 29,000-seater ground with a rich Championship history.
Referee: TBC
UK: Sky Sports Red Button / Sky Go
International: ESPN+, DAZN, Viaplay (selected regions)
Home Win Probability: 53.3%
Away Win Probability: 20.0%
Draw Probability: 26.7%
Correct Score Prediction: 2-1
Both Teams to Score Probability: 60.0%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 45.0%
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Draw/Home
Both Teams to Score @ 2.10 – With both sides averaging goals in recent H2Hs, this stands out at high value.
Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.91 – 2.8 expected match goals suggest goals are likely despite Birmingham’s favourite status.
Expected Match Goals: 2.80
Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 100%
Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 60%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 45%
Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 25%
First Half Goals Projection: 1.33 (73% chance of at least one first-half goal)
Best Bet 1: Both Teams to Score @ 2.10
Best Bet 2: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.91
The data leans toward a Birmingham win but expects Sheffield Wednesday to get on the scoresheet. A 2-1 correct score looks the most likely outcome, consistent with both the algorithm and past meetings at St Andrew’s.
At Football Park, our insights highlight data-driven value, but remember no bet is risk-free. Football is unpredictable – especially in the Championship. Always gamble responsibly.
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