Birmingham City vs Watford Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Match Details: December 1, 2025 | St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park | EFL Championship | 20:00 GMT

Watford travel to the Midlands to face Birmingham in what promises to be a feisty Championship affair, with the sides only separated by one point heading into the match. The play-offs are within touching distance for both sides points-wise, despite being placed ninth and 14th respectively, so they will both be eager to take three points to improve their immediate position in the table.

Key Betting Tips: Over 2.5 Match Goals at 2.05 on Parimatch, or 1.96 odds on Kwiff represents good value based on the tip provided by our algorithm.

Alternative Betting Tip: BTTS at 1.93 odds on Parimatch, or 1.88 odds on Kwiff is another bet with good value, according to our algorithm.

Both sides have been in very good goal-scoring form as of late, and it's too close to call a winner, so based on these odds and the likelihood of goals, these are the best value bets for Birmingham City vs Watford.

Birmingham City vs Watford Predicted Lineups

Birmingham City Predicted XI (4-2-3-1): James Beadle; Alex Cochrane, Christoph Klarer, Phil Neumann, Bright Osayi-Samuel; Seung-Ho Paik, Tommy Doyle; Demarai Gray, Jay Stansfield, Patrick Roberts; Marvin Ducksch

Chris Davies has a few injuries to consider at the moment, with Ethan Laird, Lee Buchanan and Willum Thor Willumsson all expected to be out until the middle of December. Scott Wright will be missing until the new year, while Tomoki Iwata has accumulated too many yellow cards and will be suspended for this game.

Watford Predicted XI (4-4-2): Nathan Baxter; Marc Bola, Matthew Pollock, Kévin Keben Biakolo, Jeremy Ngakia; Othmane Maamma, Hector Kyprianou, Imrân Louza, Edo Kayembe; Luca Kjerrumgaard, Mamadou Doumbia

Four players will return to fitness next month for Javi Gracia's side, but this game will come too soon for all of those who are out with injury at Watford. Egil Selvik, Caleb Wiley, Kwadwo Baah and Nikoloz Chikovani will all be back in December, but Rocco Vata will have to wait until January for his opportunity to return to first team action.

Birmingham City vs Watford Current League Standings

With only one point between the two sides, with four teams sitting between them too, this is a match that could be part of a huge reshuffle of the Championship table. The league is as close as ever, with only six points separating fourth and 17th, so the result of this match could leave either side considering their position as disastrous or very promising.

The hosts sit in ninth and only two points off the play-offs, so a win in this game could propel them up into the top six. They could also fall deep into the mid-table pack if Watford achieve victory in the Midlands, which would see the Hornets in a position ready to pounce on the top six in the coming weeks.

Birmingham City vs Watford Head-to-Head Timeline

Recent Head-to-Head Results:

These two have played plenty of Championship football against each other in the last few years, even with Birmingham having a one season spell in League One last year. Watford usually get the better of their opponents in this fixture, having won four of their last five meetings; it's been just over 11 years since Birmingham were able to beat the Hornets.

Across all of history, Watford have managed 25 wins against Birmingham, with the Blues winning only 17 in response. 10 matches have ended as a draw.

• March 16, 2024: Birmingham City 0-1 Watford (EFL Championship)
• September 16, 2023: Watford 2-0 Birmingham City (EFL Championship)
• March 14, 2023: Watford 3-0 Birmingham City (EFL Championship)
• August 16, 2022: Birmingham City 1-1 Watford (EFL Championship)
• March 20, 2021: Watford 3-0 Birmingham City (EFL Championship)

Birmingham City and Watford Recent Matches Analysis

Birmingham City Last 5 Matches:

• Birmingham City 1-1 West Brom (A) – EFL Championship
• Birmingham City 4-1 Norwich (H) – EFL Championship
• Birmingham City 1-2 Middlesbrough (A) – EFL Championship
• Birmingham City 4-0 Millwall (H) – EFL Championship
• Birmingham City 4-0 Portsmouth (H) – EFL Championship

Goal-scoring has been a huge strength of Birmingham's game in the last few weeks, bagging 14 times in just five games with four goals on three seperate occasions. Their win against Millwall was very convincing, and they punished strugglers Portsmouth and Norwich, but the draw against a poor West Brom and loss to Middlesbrough would've frustrated Birmingham. They'll look to extend their unbeaten run to three games against Watford.

Watford Last 5 Matches:

• Watford 1-1 Preston North End (H) – EFL Championship
• Watford 3-2 Derby County (A) – EFL Championship
• Watford 1-1 Bristol City (H) – EFL Championship
• Watford 1-1 Ipswich Town (A) – EFL Championship
• Watford 3-0 Middlesbrough (H) – EFL Championship

Unbeaten in their last five games is a good position to be in, but Watford need to make sure they start turning draws into wins more regularly. Though it is obviously a positive not to lose, they could have an extra 12 points if they were able to find that little bit extra to win, a tally which would see them up in second. The result against Middlesbrough was remarkable, as was their comeback against a flying Derby. Frankly, none of their results recently have been especially bad, but they'll want to be able to push on and start winning more regularly.

Birmingham City vs Watford Predictions

Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with 70.00% confidence in Over 2.5 Match Goals, as well as a 66.70% confidence in BTTS. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.

Best Birmingham City vs Watford Betting Tips

Football Park’s Best Bet: Over 2.5 Match Goals @ 2.05 on Parimatch OR 1.96 odds on Kwiff - Both teams have displayed excellent ability in front of goal recently, but they are also susceptible to letting goals in, so we think it's worth trusting that this match will bring us some goals.

Key Players to Watch: Birmingham City vs Watford

Jay Stansfield (Birmingham City): The young attacker has obviously had a lot of attention on him since he arrived in Birmingham with a hefty price tag, but he also looks to be the side's most exciting attacking outlet this season. He has four goal involvements in his last four games for the Blues, which has taken his Championship total up to eight goals and two assists so far.

Imrân Louza (Watford): Talk about setting an example, the captain has been magnificent for Watford this season in the midfield, both dictating the play and offering a massive threat on the attack. His performances have been consistently excellent over the last month especially, as well as managing six goals and four assists from central midfield in the Championship, a tally to be proud of at this stage.

Birmingham City vs Watford Match Facts

Broadcast Details: Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, NOW UK

Referee: Adam Herczeg

Stadium Information: Located in Birmingham, St. Andrew’s Stadium has a capacity of 29,409, but there are plans for the club to move to a new 62,000 seater stadium five years from now.

Birmingham City vs Watford: Final Prediction

Birmingham City 2-1 Watford