Home Win
Blackburn 2 - 1 Swansea
Who will win?
1
Blackburn
x
Draw
2
Swansea
Blackburn welcome Swansea to Ewood Park on Tuesday, 30 September 2025 (19:45 GMT) in the Championship. Rovers enter with a strong 60% win probability, compared to Swansea’s 33.3%, and the algorithm backs a 2-1 home victory. While not a high-scoring projection (1.9 expected goals), both teams still carry a 56.7% BTTS chance.
Date: 30 September 2025
Kick-Off: 19:45 GMT
Competition: England Championship
Venue: Ewood Park, Blackburn – a traditional 31,000-seater stadium with a strong home support.
Referee: TBC
UK: Sky Sports Red Button / Sky Go
International: ESPN+, DAZN, Viaplay (selected regions)
Home Win Probability: 60.0%
Away Win Probability: 33.3%
Draw Probability: 6.7%
Correct Score Prediction: 2-1
Both Teams to Score Probability: 56.7%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 40.0%
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Draw/Home
Blackburn to Win @ 2.50 – Strong value with a 60% algorithm-backed win chance at home.
Both Teams to Score @ 1.83 – With over 56% BTTS probability, this market offers fair value.
Expected Match Goals: 1.90
Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 100%
Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 60%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 40%
Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 0%
First Half Goals Projection: 0.67 (47% chance of at least one first-half goal)
Best Bet 1: Blackburn to Win @ 2.50
Best Bet 2: Both Teams to Score @ 1.83
This clash looks tight but tilts towards Blackburn, who have a strong home record against Swansea (winning three of the last four at Ewood Park). A 2-1 correct score fits both the model and recent head-to-head history.
At Football Park, we highlight where data finds value – but football is unpredictable, especially in the Championship. Always gamble responsibly and bet within your means.
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