Home Win
Bristol City 2 - 0 Ipswich
Who will win?
1
Bristol City
x
Draw
2
Ipswich
Bristol City host Ipswich at Ashton Gate on Tuesday, 30 September 2025 (19:45 GMT) in the Championship. The Robins enter with a 46.7% win probability, well clear of Ipswich’s 26.7%, while the model expects a 2-0 home win. With Ipswich struggling away and Bristol City’s attack generating 1.4 expected goals, the Double Chance (Win or Draw) looks like strong value at 1.53 odds.
Date: 30 September 2025
Kick-Off: 19:45 GMT
Competition: England Championship
Venue: Ashton Gate, Bristol – a 27,000-capacity ground with a lively home crowd.
Referee: TBC
UK: Sky Sports Red Button / Sky Go
International: ESPN+, DAZN, Viaplay (selected regions)
Home Win Probability: 46.7%
Away Win Probability: 26.7%
Draw Probability: 26.7%
Correct Score Prediction: 2-0
Both Teams to Score Probability: 50.0%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 45.0%
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Home/Home
Bristol City Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.53 – Strong insurance bet with nearly 75% combined probability.
Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.91 – Model suggests a modest 2.5 expected goals, with Ipswich unlikely to score more than once.
Expected Match Goals: 2.50
Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 90%
Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 75%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 45%
Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 35%
First Half Goals Projection: 1.33 (80% chance of at least one first-half goal)
Best Bet 1: Bristol City Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.53
Best Bet 2: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.91
Bristol City’s home advantage and higher attacking output makes them favourites to edge this contest. A 2-0 correct score reflects both the algorithm’s prediction and their strong record against Ipswich at Ashton Gate.
At Football Park, we highlight data-driven value, but remember that no bet is guaranteed – especially in the unpredictable Championship. Bet sensibly and never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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