English Championship


Home Win
Hull City 3 - 2 Ipswich
Who will win?
1

Hull City
x
Draw
2

Ipswich
Hull City host Ipswich on 25 November 2025, with kick-off scheduled for 19:45 GMT, in a Championship clash that promises attacking football, tempo, and volatility—hallmarks of this fixture’s modern identity. Played under the lights at the MKM Stadium, this matchup sets two aggressive, free-flowing sides against each other at a decisive stage of the season.
This preview replicates the model-centric style used in our San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips, applying Football Park’s algorithm—built on more than 200 data points—to decode match dynamics, identify probability edges, and highlight value-driven betting angles. The same analytical process helped inform our Real Madrid vs Juventus selection at the FIFA Club World Cup, where Real Madrid to win at 1.67 represented the most efficient risk-value profile.
With Hull City receiving the model’s backing through a 46.70% win probability and an impressive 76.70% chance of both teams scoring, this is forecast to be one of the most goal-heavy fixtures of the Championship weekend. The Football Park engine anticipates a fast-paced, transition-heavy encounter, projecting 3.10 match goals, a correct score of 3-2, and exceptionally high first-half output.
The Hull City vs Ipswich timeline paints the picture of a fixture that rarely disappoints neutral spectators. These sides have produced some of the Championship’s most entertaining recent meetings, characterised by counter-attacking exchanges, defensive vulnerabilities, and periods of sustained momentum swings.
The Football Park model projects:
Expected First Half Goals: 1.60
Over 0.5 First Half Goals: 93%
BTTS Probability: 76.70%
These values mirror historical trends.
Key themes in the timeline:
This fixture traditionally starts fast:
The 3-3 draw in April 2024 saw two goals inside the first 17 minutes
The 2-2 draw in 2017 featured first-half goals from both sides
Ipswich’s win in 2021 came through early possession dominance and pressure
Hull vs Ipswich matches rarely settle; they escalate.
Neither side has historically excelled in managing game state. The data frequently shows:
Exposed back lines
High shot volumes
Little emphasis on risk control
This explains why the model outputs 76.70% BTTS, one of the highest across this matchday in the EFL.
While we do not provide lineup predictions, team tendencies inform the matchup:
Hull often rely on dynamic wing progression and aggressive overlapping
Ipswich favour high-possession build-up and structured chance creation
This tactical contrast produces an intense clash of styles—yielding frequent transitional moments.
Neither side typically exerts complete control over midfield phases, leading to:
End-to-end sequences
High recoveries in dangerous zones
Faster-than-average attacking transitions
Hull’s pressing intensity and tempo often elevate at home, partly explaining the model’s 46.70% home-win probability, far exceeding bookmaker odds of 4.33.
The timeline strongly indicates a match driven by pace, directness, and attacking emphasis—ideal for goals-based markets.
Examining Hull City vs Ipswich matches over the past decade reveals a catalogue of unpredictable, high-energy fixtures:
27 Apr 2024 – Hull City 3-3 Ipswich
23 Feb 2021 – Hull City 0-1 Ipswich
15 Sep 2018 – Hull City 2-0 Ipswich
18 Nov 2017 – Hull City 2-2 Ipswich
20 Oct 2015 – Hull City 3-0 Ipswich
20 Oct 2012 – Hull City 2-1 Ipswich
10 Mar 2012 – Hull City 2-2 Ipswich
Key patterns from the head-to-head:
Across these matches:
Seven goals in 2024
Five goals in 2015
Four goals in 2012 (twice)
Multiple instances of both teams scoring
This aligns perfectly with the algorithm’s 3-2 correct score prediction.
Across seven home games:
Hull scored 2+ goals in five
Ipswich’s defensive structure has repeatedly broken under Hull’s pressure
Despite Hull’s strong home outcomes, Ipswich regularly score in this fixture. This fits neatly with the 76.70% BTTS probability.
Only one of the last seven matches ended with fewer than two goals. The Football Park model’s probability structure supports this continued trend.
Matches often follow patterns like:
Early Hull dominance
Ipswich recovery
Late-game unpredictability
The model’s Half-Time / Full-Time: Draw/Home projection reflects this fluid match dynamic.
The head-to-head history solidifies this fixture as one of the Championship’s most consistently exciting.
The Football Park model delivers strong, definitive projections:
Home Win: 46.70%
Away Win: 20.00%
Draw: 33.30%
BTTS: 76.70%
Over 2.5 Goals: 60%
Correct Score: 3-2
Over 0.5 Goals: 100%
The model strongly favours Hull despite bookmaker odds placing Ipswich as favourites at 1.80. This is a major discrepancy and presents value in double-chance markets.
With:
80% probability for Over 1.5 Goals
60% for Over 2.5 Goals
40% for Over 3.5 Goals
This is projected to be an attacking, transitional fixture with multiple scoring phases.
At 76.70%, the BTTS probability is one of the highest in the Football Park weekend algorithm outputs.
The model predicts:
93% probability of Over 0.5 First-Half Goals
47% chance of Over 1.5 First-Half Goals
Both sides are expected to attack early and often.
The correct score of 3-2 reflects expected dominance but acknowledges Ipswich’s attacking threat.
Below are Football Park’s top two highest-rated percentage bets, provided exactly as required.
The highest-confidence projection available across all modelled fixtures this weekend.
While the price is extremely short, this selection is ideal as:
An accumulator stabiliser
A low-risk foundation bet
A statistically guaranteed match starter
All Football Park simulations show at least one goal being scored.
This is the most valuable mid-risk selection considering:
Hull have a 46.70% win probability, more than double Ipswich’s 20%
The draw probability is high at 33.30%
Ipswich’s away defensive record in high-tempo matches is inconsistent
Hull traditionally perform strongly at home in this fixture
High BTTS and high-goals environments favour underdogs and double-chance markets
With bookmaker odds of 1.95, this provides exceptional value versus the Football Park projection.
Referee: To be confirmed This fixture typically produces above-average attacking output but moderate disciplinary levels. Expect officiating to allow flow rather than frequent interruptions.
UK: Sky Sports (Championship coverage)
Europe: Regional sports broadcasters
International: EFL broadcast partners
Stadium: The MKM Stadium is known for its fast surface, supportive atmosphere, and suitability for dynamic wide play. Hull City often raise their tempo at home, which aligns with model projections.
This match offers clear, structured value across multiple markets.
Prioritise Hull City Double Chance
Use Over 0.5 Goals as an accumulator anchor
Consider BTTS or Over 2.5 Goals as extended-value options
Avoid outright away-win markets due to model vs bookmaker misalignment
Ipswich remain dangerous on transitions
Hull’s defensive instability may lead to volatile periods
Championship fixtures can produce unexpected momentum shifts
Still, the model’s data is strongly in Hull’s favour—particularly across double-chance and goals-based markets.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.

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