Home Win
Hull City 2 - 0 Preston
Who will win?
1
Hull City
x
Draw
2
Preston
Hull City welcome Preston to the MKM Stadium on Tuesday, 30 September 2025 (19:45 GMT) in the Championship. The Tigers enter with a 46.7% win probability, compared to Preston’s 33.3%, with the model projecting a 2-0 home victory. With expected goals leaning narrowly Hull’s way (1.1 vs 0.8), the value lies in siding with the hosts at 2.20 odds.
Date: 30 September 2025
Kick-Off: 19:45 GMT
Competition: England Championship
Venue: MKM Stadium, Hull – a 25,000-capacity ground and a tough place for visitors.
Referee: TBC
UK: Sky Sports Red Button / Sky Go
International: ESPN+, DAZN, Viaplay (selected regions)
Home Win Probability: 46.7%
Away Win Probability: 33.3%
Draw Probability: 20.0%
Correct Score Prediction: 2-0
Both Teams to Score Probability: 43.3%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 40.0%
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Draw/Home
Hull City to Win @ 2.20 – Strong home edge, with recent H2H form (2 wins in last 2 at home).
Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.80 – With just 1.9 expected goals overall, a low-scoring contest is favoured.
Expected Match Goals: 1.90
Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 85%
Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 50%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 40%
Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 25%
First Half Goals Projection: 0.73 (53% chance of at least one first-half goal)
Best Bet 1: Hull City to Win @ 2.20
Best Bet 2: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.80
Hull City’s recent dominance over Preston at home (winning their last two MKM meetings) supports the algorithm’s 2-0 correct score prediction. With both teams’ goal projections on the low side, a cagey home win looks the likeliest outcome.
At Football Park, we provide data-driven betting insights to highlight value. Remember, even the strongest stats can’t guarantee results – especially in the Championship. Bet responsibly and never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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