Ipswich Town vs Charlton Athletic Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips Predictions

Ipswich Town vs Charlton Athletic Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Match Date: Tuesday, 21 October 2025 Kick-off: 19:45 GMT Competition: England Championship

Match Overview

Promotion-chasing Ipswich Town welcome Charlton Athletic to Portman Road in a match where the hosts are overwhelming favourites according to the Football Park model. Ipswich are given a 60% win probability, compared to just 13.3% for Charlton, underlining their dominance in both form and metrics.

Ipswich’s home record is among the best in the league, averaging 2.3 expected goals per match, while Charlton’s away defence has struggled against top-half teams. The data suggests a high-scoring contest, with Ipswich likely to control proceedings from the start.

Football Park Algorithm Predictions

Football Park’s machine learning model — powered by xG, possession data, and form momentum — projects the following outcomes:

Home Win Probability: 60.00%

Away Win Probability: 13.30%

Draw Probability: 26.70%

Both Teams to Score Probability: 63.30%

Expected Match Goals: 3.10

The most likely result from the simulation is a 3-0 Ipswich Town victory, reflecting their superior attacking depth and Charlton’s defensive vulnerability.

Key Betting Tips

1. Ipswich Town to Win @ 1.67

Ipswich are in commanding home form, winning four of their last five at Portman Road while scoring 2+ goals in each. With the model showing a 60% win likelihood, they represent one of the strongest favourites in this round of fixtures.

Charlton’s away xGA (expected goals against) is among the league’s worst, making it hard to see them containing Ipswich’s free-flowing attack. Recommended Bet: Ipswich to Win @ 1.67

2. Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score @ 2.50

Ipswich’s attacking style and Charlton’s tendency to play on the break make this a prime candidate for goals. Football Park data projects 3.1 total expected goals with a 63.3% BTTS probability.

Ipswich have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 70% of their home fixtures, and Charlton have conceded multiple goals in three of their last four away matches. Recommended Bet: Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 2.50

Head-to-Head Timeline – Ipswich vs Charlton Matches

15 Apr 2023: Ipswich 6-0 Charlton

30 Apr 2022: Ipswich 4-0 Charlton

28 Nov 2020: Ipswich 0-2 Charlton

05 Apr 2016: Ipswich 0-0 Charlton

30 Dec 2014: Ipswich 3-0 Charlton

Ipswich have dominated this fixture in recent years, scoring 13 goals in their last three home wins against Charlton without conceding once.

Statistical Breakdown – Ipswich vs Charlton Predictions

Over 0.5 Match Goals: 95% probability

Over 1.5 Match Goals: 90% probability

Over 2.5 Match Goals: 65% probability

Both Teams to Score: 63.3% probability

Correct Score Prediction: 3-0 Ipswich

The model points strongly toward a convincing home win, with Ipswich expected to control possession and create higher-quality chances.

Betting Outlook

Ipswich’s dominance at Portman Road makes them heavy favourites to claim another comfortable win. Expect a confident attacking display from Kieran McKenna’s side, who have consistently produced high-scoring performances at home.

Predicted outcome: Ipswich Town 3-0 Charlton Athletic Most valuable markets: Ipswich Win and Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS

Responsible Gambling Message

Football Park’s predictions are data models, not guarantees. Always bet responsibly — set personal limits, manage your bankroll, and treat betting as entertainment, not income.

For support, visit BeGambleAware.org or your local responsible gambling service.