Home Win
Leicester 3 - 0 Wrexham
Who will win?
1
Leicester
x
Draw
2
Wrexham
Leicester host Wrexham at the King Power Stadium on Tuesday, 30 September 2025 (19:45 GMT) in the Championship. The Foxes enter with a commanding 60% win probability, while Wrexham hold just 30%, with the model projecting a 3-0 home victory. Leicester’s stronger squad depth and attacking metrics (expected goals 1.5 vs 1.0) make them the clear favourites at 1.70 odds.
Date: 30 September 2025
Kick-Off: 19:45 GMT
Competition: England Championship
Venue: King Power Stadium, Leicester – a 32,000-capacity ground and fortress for the Foxes.
Referee: TBC
UK: Sky Sports Red Button / Sky Go
International: ESPN+, DAZN, Viaplay (selected regions)
Home Win Probability: 60.0%
Away Win Probability: 30.0%
Draw Probability: 10.0%
Correct Score Prediction: 3-0
Both Teams to Score Probability: 40.0%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 33.3%
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Home/Home
Leicester to Win @ 1.70 – Strong value given their higher expected goals and home dominance.
Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36 – With 2.5 expected match goals, a solid Leicester win without going goal-crazy looks likely.
Expected Match Goals: 2.50
Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 86.7%
Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 80%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 33.3%
Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 13.3%
First Half Goals Projection: 1.00 (70% chance of at least one first-half goal)
Best Bet 1: Leicester to Win @ 1.70
Best Bet 2: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36
Leicester’s quality should shine through against a spirited Wrexham side. The algorithm’s 3-0 correct score reflects both their attacking edge and defensive control at home.
At Football Park, we provide value-driven predictions through advanced data analysis. However, football is unpredictable – particularly in the Championship. Always bet responsibly and never risk more than you can afford to lose.
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