English Championship


BTTS Yes
Middlesbrough 2 - 1 QPR
Who will win?
1

Middlesbrough
x
Draw
2

QPR
Middlesbrough host QPR at the Riverside Stadium on 13 December 2025, with kick-off set for 15:00 GMT in a Championship fixture that promises attacking momentum on both sides. Football Park’s algorithm expects an open encounter driven by a combined 2.70 expected goals and a strong 73.30% probability that both teams find the net.
Our highlighted betting tip is Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 2.10, which aligns tightly with the model’s projection of another high-scoring chapter between two sides who consistently produce end-to-end football. With Middlesbrough favoured at 46.70% but QPR close behind at 40.00%, this matchup carries volatility, tactical unpredictability, and clear value across attacking markets.
The Middlesbrough vs QPR matches history underlines a fixture often defined by dramatic swings and relentless forward play. Boro’s 2-1 win in March 2025 continued this trend, building on previous meetings such as 3-1 and 3-2 scorelines between 2017 and 2023. QPR have also inflicted damage at the Riverside, with notable victories in 2021 and 2020, proving their ability to disrupt Boro’s rhythm.
Across the past decade, both clubs have exhibited tactical traits conducive to goals: direct progression, quick transitions, and defensive phases prone to lapses under pressure. These trends reinforce Football Park’s projection for another high-tempo contest.
Turning to the Middlesbrough vs QPR predictions, the algorithm assigns a narrow 46.70% probability to a Boro victory, with QPR at 40.00% and just 13.30% on the draw. This distribution reflects two sides stylistically aligned toward assertive attacking play rather than risk-averse containment.
Middlesbrough’s expected 1.40 goals come from their strong central combinations and sustained territorial control, while QPR’s 1.30 expected goals indicate efficient counter-attacking patterns capable of exposing gaps. A projected 2-1 home win and an 80.00% likelihood of over 1.5 match goals reinforce the expectation of a match decided by decisive moments in the final third.
Here are Football Park’s two highest-rated percentage selections for this fixture:
Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 2.10 As the highlighted bet, this selection benefits from a powerful 73.30% BTTS probability and a 65.00% rating for over 2.5 goals. Both clubs consistently generate goal-danger in this fixture, and their defensive volatility amplifies the potential for sustained scoring periods. With a projected 2-1 outcome and an 80.00% chance of at least two goals, this market offers excellent data-backed value.
Home Win @ 1.80 Supported by a 46.70% probability, Middlesbrough’s win selection remains a viable second angle. While narrow, their edge comes from stronger final-third efficiency and a greater likelihood of controlling possession phases. Historically, Boro have often edged QPR in tight matches at home, and the model’s Half Time–Full Time forecast of Draw/Home further supports the possibility of late-match advantage.
Examining the Middlesbrough vs QPR timeline, the model anticipates early activity, with an 80.00% chance of over 0.5 first-half goals and both teams holding identical 40.00% probabilities of leading at the interval. QPR’s press-resistance under pressure may generate moments of transitional threat, while Boro’s more established pattern play could produce late territorial dominance.
The expected match flow builds toward decisive second-half actions, reflecting the predicted Draw/Home progression and 2-1 final scoreline. Given the symmetry in offensive metrics, momentum swings are likely to shape the outcome.
The Riverside Stadium environment typically enhances Boro’s attacking intent, which contributes to their consistent xG accumulation and sustained pressure phases. QPR, however, have historically found ways to disrupt matches in the northeast with energetic wide play and aggressive counter-attacking bursts.
Football Park’s predictive model identifies this as a match where structural balance and defensive vulnerabilities align to create an elevated probability of goals. With both teams carrying strong first-half threat indicators, bettors should anticipate a match open from the outset.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.

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