English Championship


Away Win
Portsmouth 0 - 2 Blackburn
Who will win?
1

Portsmouth
x
Draw
2

Blackburn
Portsmouth host Blackburn on 13 December 2025 at Fratton Park, with a 15:00 kick-off in the Championship, as Football Park’s modelling points toward a tight but strategically favourable contest for the visitors. With the highlighted betting tip of choice Blackburn to Win at 2.55, this matchup fits the same analytical framework used in our San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield previews, combining probability-weighted outcomes with historical context and tactical tendencies. The algorithm identifies Blackburn’s stronger away-win probability, a superior half-time/full-time progression, and a defensive structure capable of limiting Portsmouth’s scoring volume, making this a fixture with notable betting value across the win markets.
The recent history between Portsmouth and Blackburn underscores how evenly matched yet unpredictable this fixture can be. Their last meeting in March 2025 saw Portsmouth edge a 1-0 victory, a result shaped more by isolated defensive errors than sustained attacking control. Looking further back, Blackburn’s 2-1 success in 2018 demonstrated their ability to impose themselves physically and exploit wide-area mismatches, traits that remain relevant to their current squad profile.
The broader timeline of Portsmouth vs Blackburn matches reveals tight margins and fluctuating momentum, with most encounters producing narrow scorelines and limited goal volume. Across the past decade, both clubs have leaned heavily on structured defensive phases, which has often resulted in contests decided by transitional moments rather than prolonged attacking pressure. This trend again aligns with the algorithm’s projection of a low-to-mid scoring match.
Football Park’s predictive model assigns both teams a near-identical scoring expectation—0.90 for Portsmouth and 1.10 for Blackburn—yet the visitors hold a commanding 56.7% win probability compared with Portsmouth’s 30%. This reflects not only Blackburn’s stronger tactical efficiency but also the importance of first-half control, where they hold a 50% chance of leading at the break.
With an overall match-goals projection of 1.90 and a correct-score prediction of 0-2, the algorithm indicates a disciplined, risk-managed performance from Blackburn. Their ability to restrict the pace in midfield and exploit Portsmouth’s defensive gaps makes them the more reliable outright selection. The halftime-to-fulltime Away/Away pattern reinforces this, projecting early pressure converting into sustained advantage.
The BTTS probability of 51.7% sits close to the balance point, suggesting an unpredictable scoring dynamic dependent on Portsmouth’s ability to transition quickly rather than generate structured chances.
The two highest-rated percentage selections for this fixture are:
Blackburn Win @ 2.55 Backed by a 56.7% win probability and a strong Away/Away progression profile, this is the standout selection. Blackburn’s defensive structure and transitional sharpness provide a clear statistical edge.
Under 2.5 Match Goals With only a 37.5% chance of clearing the over line, this projects as a game with controlled tempo, low total shots, and limited high-quality chances. The correct-score model reinforces this, pointing to a 0-2 or similarly low-scoring outcome.
Bettors should consider pairing these markets cautiously, as matches with mid-range BTTS probability can tilt through isolated moments.
This contest is expected to feature slow buildup phases, with Blackburn using their superior defensive spacing to limit Portsmouth’s ability to break lines. Broadcasters across domestic and international networks will carry the match as part of the Championship’s Saturday schedule, ensuring wide visibility for supporters and bettors alike. Tactical discipline and compact midfields will define much of the match flow, favouring the visitors in efficiency and structure.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.

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